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Holiday Bowl: Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Arizona Wildcats 12-30-09

The Nebraska Cornhuskers and the Arizona Wildcats will both be trying to pick up a win when they battle at Qualcomm Stadium in the Holiday Bowl.

Oddsmakers currently have the Cornhuskers listed as 2½-point favorites versus the Wildcats, while the game’s total is sitting at 40½.

Alex Henery kicked four field goals in Nebraska’s 13-12 loss to Texas in Week 14 as 14-point underdogs. Those 25 points fell UNDER the posted total of 47.

Arizona took advantage of an unmotivated USC team, winning 21-17 at Los Angeles Coliseum in Week 14.

Arizona covered as a 7-point road underdog while the final played UNDER the 49.5-point total.

Team records:
Nebraska: 9-4 SU, 8-5 ATS
Arizona: 8-4 SU, 6-5 ATS

Nebraska most recently:
When playing in December are 6-4
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the conference are 8-2

Arizona most recently:
When playing in December are 5-1
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
Nebraska is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Nebraska’s last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona’s last 6 games
Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Arizona is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

FREE PICK : UNDER 41

Music City Bowl: Kentucky Wildcats vs. Clemson Tigers 12-27-09

The Kentucky Wildcats and the Clemson Tigers will both be trying to pick up a win when they battle at LP Field in the Music City Bowl.

Oddsmakers currently have the Tigers listed as 6½-point favorites versus the Wildcats, while the game’s total is sitting at 53½.

Randall Cobb ran for 101 yards and a TD in Kentucky’s 30-24 overtime loss to Tennessee in Week 13. Kentucky was listed as a 3-point underdog in that game, while the 54 points made it OVER the posted total of 50.5.

Clemson was defeated 39-34 by Georgia Tech in Week 14 as a pick’em. That game’s 73 points sailed OVER the posted total of 57.

C.J. Spiller ran for 233 yards with four touchdowns in that losing effort for the Tigers.

Team records:
Kentucky: 7-5 SU, 6-5 ATS
Clemson: 8-5 SU, 7-5 ATS

Kentucky most recently:
When playing in December are 2-2
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing outside the conference are 10-0

Clemson most recently:
When playing in December are 3-6
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing outside the conference are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
Kentucky is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Clemson’s last 5 games
Clemson is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

FREE PICK: CLEMSON  -7

Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Maryland Terrapins 12-27-09

The Florida Atlantic Owls and the Maryland Terrapins will both be trying to pick up a win on Sunday when they battle at Comcast Center.

Oddsmakers currently have the Terrapins listed as 20½-point favorites versus the Owls, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.

Raymond Taylor had 12 points and six assists to lead Florida Atlantic in its 77-60 loss to Georgia on Wednesday night.

Georgia covered as 11.5-point home favorites, while the teams played UNDER the 140-point total set by oddsmakers.

Current streak:
Florida Atlantic has lost 2 straight games.
Maryland has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Florida Atlantic: 5-6 SU, 2-4 ATS
Maryland: 7-3 SU, 3-4 ATS

Florida Atlantic most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 4-6
Before playing Hofstra are 0-3
After playing Georgia are 1-0
After a loss are 3-7

Maryland most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 7-3
Before playing William & Mary are 0-1
After a win are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
Florida Atlantic is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Florida Atlantic is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
Florida Atlantic is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Maryland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Maryland is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games

Next up:
Florida Atlantic home to Hofstra, Tuesday, December 29
Maryland home to William & Mary, Wednesday, December 30

FREE PICK: FLORIDA ATLANTIC +21

Poinsettia Bowl: Utah Utes vs. California Golden Bears 12-23-09

The Utah Utes and the California Golden Bears will both be trying to pick up a win when they battle at Qualcomm Stadium in the Poinsettia Bowl.

Oddsmakers currently have the Golden Bears listed as 3-point favorites versus the Utes, while the game’s total is sitting at 51½.

Utah fell 26-23 to BYU in overtime at LaVell Edwards Stadium in Week 13.

Utah covered as an 8.5-point road underdog while the final score played UNDER the 56.5-point total.

California closed a rough season with a 42-10 loss to Washington at Husky Stadium in Week 14.

Washington covered as 6.5-point home underdogs while the final score played UNDER the 57.5-point total.

Team records:
Utah: 9-3 SU, 5-7 ATS
California: 8-4 SU, 5-6 ATS

Utah most recently:
When playing in December are 6-2
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the conference are 9-1

California most recently:
When playing in December are 7-3
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the conference are 9-1

A few trends to consider:
Utah is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Utah’s last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of California’s last 5 games
California is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
California is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

FREE PICK: CALIFORNIA -2.5

Las Vegas Bowl: BYU Cougars vs. Oregon State Beavers 12-22-09

The fans at Sam Boyd Stadium will be treated to a game between the BYU Cougars and the Oregon State Beavers when they take their seats for the Las Vegas Bowl.

Oddsmakers currently have the Beavers listed as 3-point favorites versus the Cougars, while the game’s total is sitting at 58½.

Max Hall found Andrew George for a game-winning touchdown, giving BYU a 26-23 win over Utah at LaVell Edwards Stadium in Week 13.

Utah covered as an 8.5-point road underdog while the final score played UNDER the 56.5-point total.

Oregon State was defeated 37-33 by Oregon in Week 14 as a 9.5-point underdog. That game’s combined score made it OVER the posted total of 63.

Sean Canfield threw for 306 yards with a pair of touchdowns in that loss.

Team records:
BYU: 10-2 SU, 5-7 ATS
Oregon State: 8-4 SU, 7-4 ATS

BYU most recently:
When playing in December are 4-6
When playing on turf are 8-2
After being outgained are 9-1
When playing outside the conference are 8-2

Oregon State most recently:
When playing in December are 7-3
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 9-1
When playing outside the conference are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
BYU is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
BYU is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games
Oregon State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Oregon State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

FREE PICK: OREGON ST  -3

St. Petersburg Bowl: Central Florida vs. Rutgers 12-19-09

The Central Florida Knights and the Rutgers Scarlet Knights will both be trying to pick up a win when they battle at Tropicana Field in the St. Petersburg Bowl.

Oddsmakers currently have the Scarlet Knights listed as 2½-point favorites versus the Knights, while the game’s total is sitting at 44.

Brett Hodges posted two touchdown passes to lead Central Florida to a 34-27 win over UAB in Week 13.

The Knights covered the 3-point spread, while the final score played OVER the day’s posted total of 53.

Tom Savage threw for 153 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions for Rutgers in a 24-21 loss to West Virginia in Week 14.

The Scarlet Knights did not cover the 1.5-point spread, while the final score played just UNDER the posted total of 43.5.

 

Team records:
Central Florida: 8-4 SU, 9-2 ATS
Rutgers: 8-4 SU, 5-5 ATS

Central Florida most recently:
When playing in December are 1-3
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the conference are 3-7

Rutgers most recently:
When playing in December are 3-3
When playing on turf are 6-4
After being outgained are 9-1
When playing outside the conference are 8-2

A few trends to consider:
Central Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Central Florida is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Central Florida’s last 6 games
Rutgers is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
Rutgers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

FREE PICK: RUTGERS -2.5

Army Black Knights vs. Navy Midshipmen 12-12-09

Saturday, December 12th, 2:30 p.m. (et)

GAME NOTES: The only college football game on the docket this weekend is set to take place in Philadelphia, as one of the greatest rivalries in sports enjoys its 110th edition, when Army takes on Navy in a worldwide broadcast from Lincoln Financial Field on Saturday afternoon.

The fans at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium will be treated to a game between the Army Black Knights and the Navy Midshipmen when they take their seats on Saturday.

Oddsmakers currently have the Midshipmen listed as 14-point favorites versus the Black Knights, while the game’s total is sitting at 42.

Head coach Rich Ellerson is in his first season at the helm in West Point and has his Black Knights on the verge of their first postseason berth since the 1996 Independence Bowl. If Army, which has won two straight games entering this season-finale, wins, the Black Knights will move on to the EagleBank Bowl to take on the Temple Owls. A loss would leave Army at 5-7 overall and obviously out of this year’s bowl picture.

Earning that sixth victory won’t come easy as Navy is sporting an impressive 8-4 record in Ken Niumatalolo’s second season in Annapolis. The Midshipmen are coming off a 24-17 loss at Hawaii last time out however, and would like to get back on track before a New Year’s Eve showdown with Missouri in the Texas Bowl.

The Midshipmen have won the last six Commander-In-Chief’s Trophies and will look to add to their streak of 13 straight victories over both Army and Air Force combined. Navy holds a 53-49-7 advantage in the all-time series with Army, thanks to seven straight wins over the Black Knights. Navy blanked Army last year, 34-0.

Freshman QB Trent Steelman is poised to be only the second plebe to start an Army/Navy game. Its hard to argue with the decision, as the youngster is the team’s top rusher with 690 yards and five TDs. Steelman has not had that much success throwing the football, but then again, Ellerson doesn’t require that very often of his QBs. Joining Steelman in the backfield are slotback Patrick Mealy (625 yards, three TDs) and fullback Kingsley Ehie (445 yards, two TDs). In all, the Black Knights are a dangerous rushing team, averaging 212.1 yards per game.

Still, senior Ali Villanueva does have the ability to make plays downfield. At 6-10, 283 pounds, he poses serious matchup problems, and that has led to him leading the team in receptions (29), receiving yards (460) and TDs (five).

The Army defense has done a nice job for the most part this season, limiting the opposition to a mere 22.4 ppg. The rush defense has been lax at times (149.3 ypg), but the pass defense has been tremendous (161.2 ypg). In addition, the Black Knights have recorded 23 sacks and 22 takeaways in the first 11 games.

The unit will be without standout linebacker Stephen Anderson, who was lost for the season early in November with a torn ACL. It is a bit telling that Anderson remains the team’s top tackler on the year (83 stops). Sophomore LB Andrew Rodriguez (70 tackles, two INTs) and junior safety Donovan Travis (68 tackles, team-high four INTs) will need to continue to excel in the back seven, while junior end Josh McNary (59 tackles, 22.5 TFLs, 12.5 sacks) continues to blow things up in the backfield.

If Army is good running the football, than Navy is great at it. The Midshipmen rank among the nation’s top rushing teams, averaging a hefty 279.7 yards per game (third nationally) on 4.8 yards per carry. It is a pick-your-poison with this lethal option attack, as both QB Ricky Dobbs and RB Vince Murray are closing in on 1,000-yard campaigns. Dobbs has rushed for a team-high 924 yards on the year, with an eye-popping 23 touchdowns. Murray has amassed 884 yards on the season, with six scores. In all, Navy has rushed for 39 touchdowns, compared to just four through the air.

Much like the Army defensive unit, Navy’s defense has flown a little under the radar, considering the big numbers the offense is capable of generating. The Midshipmen are yielding just 21.3 ppg on the year, holding foes to a respectable 345.8 yards of total offense.

The play of linebacker is what fuels the Navy attack. Senior LB Ross Pospisil leads the way with his 91 total tackles. Fellow senior LB Tony Haberer is a distant second with 69 tackles, followed closely by junior LB Tyler Simmons (63 stops). Junior safety Wyatt Middleton (61 tackles, three INTs, two fumble recoveries) highlights the play in the secondary, while sophomore Jabaree Tuani (45 tackles, 4.5 TFLs, 3.5 sacks) can get the job done up front.

These are two of the four teams nationally that average over 50 carries per game. Expect a fast four quarters, as both programs will run early and often. The Midshipmen are the better team however on both sides of the football and that should lead to another Navy victory, leaving the Black Knights home once again for the holidays.

Army rallied from a halftime deficit in Week 12 to pick up a 17-13 win over North Texas.

The Black Knights won that game as a pick’em, while the combined score fell UNDER the day’s posted total (53.5).

Navy was defeated 24-17 by Hawaii as a 9.5-point favorite in Week 13. That game’s 41 points went UNDER the posted total of 56.

Ricky Dobbs ran for a 55-yard rushing touchdown to lead the Navy in the loss.

Current streak:
Army has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Army: 5-6 SU, 3-8 ATS
Navy: 8-4 SU, 4-6-2 ATS

Army most recently:
When playing in December are 1-9
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the conference are 1-9

Navy most recently:
When playing in December are 7-3
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 8-2

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Army’s last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Army’s last 6 games when playing Navy
Army is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Army is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
Navy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Army
Navy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Army
Navy is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Army
Navy is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Army

FREE PICK:  NAVY -14

Florida Gators vs. Alabama Crimson Tide 12-5-09

The Florida Gators and the Alabama Crimson Tide will both be gunning for a victory on Saturday when they meet at Georgia Dome.

Oddsmakers currently have the Gators listed as 5-point favorites versus the Crimson Tide, while the game’s total is sitting at 40½.

Florida put on a show in Tim Tebow’s final game in Gainesville, taking down rival Florida State 37-10 at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Week 13.

Florida covered as a 25.5-point home favorite while the final score played UNDER the 56-point total.

Greg McElroy threw for 217 yards with a pair of TD passes as Alabama beat Auburn 26-21 in Week 13. Alabama failed to cover the 12.5-point spread, and the 47 points went as a PUSH against the posted total of 47.

Trent Richardson ran for 50 yards with a touchdown for Alabama.

Current streak:
Florida has won 12 straight games.
Alabama has won 12 straight games.

Team records:
Florida: 12-0 SU, 5-5-1 ATS
Alabama: 12-0 SU, 7-5 ATS

Florida most recently:
When playing in December are 5-3
When playing on turf are 6-2
After outgaining opponent are 10-0
When playing within the conference are 10-0

Alabama most recently:
When playing in December are 3-5
When playing on turf are 6-4
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 9-1

A few trends to consider:
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Florida’s last 10 games
Florida is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Alabama
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Alabama is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Florida
Alabama is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

The public is on Florida and we love the points in this SEC Championship.

FREE PICK:  BAMA +5.5

Ohio at Central Michigan 12-4-09

Ohio comes into this game off its most important win in years. The Bobcats needed a victory to overtake Temple to grab the East title for the right to take on Central Michigan in the MAC Championship game. However, they are ravaged by injuries to many key components. Quarterback Theo Scott is questionable after needing crutches for a banged-up ankle and the team’s second leading receiver, LaVon Brazill, also left the Temple game on crutches.

One has to wonder how much this team has left after gutting it out against the Owls. Central Michigan is undefeated in MAC play at 8-0. Not only do the Chippewas lead the conference in scoring, they are number one in scoring defense as well. They also have a slight advantage with the game being played in Detroit. Central Michigan destroyed Ohio, 31-10, when these two teams met in the MAC Championship game in ’06 and the Chippewas will do so again in ’09.

The Chippewas are 10-2 SU and 9-2 ATS this season, 3-0 ATS in their last three. They are 4-2 to the under in their last six. Ohio is 9-3 SU and 7-4 ATS in ’09, also 3-0 ATS in its last three – all overs. Central Michigan is 3-0 both SU and ATS the last three meetings.
I like Central Michigan in this matchup.

Ranked #1 in the country for free college football picks.

Free Pick Central Michigan -13.5

By Lawrence Tate Associate Freepick1.com Editor

Oregon State at Oregon 12-3-09

The winner of the Civil War goes to the Rose Bowl. That’s all you need to know about the importance of this one. Oregon smashed Oregon State last year, 65-38, gaining close to 700 total yards in the process so expect the Beavers to be better prepared in this year’s encounter. Keep in mind that the loser has come back to win the following season the last six times. Oregon comes in as the heavy favorite after outscoring its opponents 185 to 50 in its last four home games.

However, the Ducks have struggled in two of their last three games, losing to Stanford and barely getting past Arizona. The Beavers are 7-1 in their last eight road games with the only loss coming by six points at USC. Their offense should be able to match strides with Oregon so go with the road underdog to cover the inflated spread.

The Beavers are 8-3 SU and 6-4 ATS this season, 3-0 ATS in their last three and 6-1 ATS in their last seven. They are 3-1 to the under in their last four. Oregon is 9-2 SU and 7-4 ATS in ’09, 1-2 ATS in its last three after six straight covers. The Ducks have gone over in five consecutive games. Oregon State is 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS the last five meetings with all five going over the total.

Ranked #1 in the country for free college football picks.

Free Pick Oregon State +10

By Lawrence Tate Associate Freepick1.com Editor

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