Free Pick New Orleans Saints vs Indianapolis Colts 2-7-10

February 7, 2010

Well people this is it, the big game is here.  This is what we have all been waiting for.  The New Orleans Saints vs the Indianapolis Colts.  The Colts in this game are a 4 point favorite, although the line has fluctuated all the way up to 6 in some casinos at times throughout the past two weeks.  That line movement looked like it was going to sit right around 5.5 or 6 until the new of D Freeney’s injury and now the latest scare with R Wayne’s knee.  It should stay at 4 no matter what as the game approaches.

Across America it seems as if about 65% of the gambling public is on the side of the Colts.  It is hard to bet against Peyton Manning and the Colts in this game.  However, there is another quality team out there that wants to hoist that trophy up as well.  The New Orleans Saints are a very dangerous team with a lot of weapons on offense and defense.  Imagine for a second, just humor me, that Peyton Manning was not the quarterback and it was, let’s say Phillip Rivers, another top quarterback in the league but not near the level of Peyton.  How would we view the game then?  I believe people would view the Saints as the favorite if that was the case.  Of course, the Colts do have Peyton Manning so therefore the line is what it is.

All this being said I think we are in for a great Superbowl.  I believe the Saints could win outright but I think strongly that this will be a field goal game no matter what.  Go with the Saints in this one and don’t be afraid to take them for the money line either.  That’s right, you heard it here.  Saints outright winner.

Free Pick:  Saints +4.5

NFC vs AFC 1-31-10

January 31, 2010

Today is the big day.  The day that we all have been waiting for.  The anticipation has killed us.  No not really, but today is the day of the Pro Bowl.  It is an NFL game and there is a line to bet on. So we have looked at the game and the total sort of jumps out at us.  The total is 57. 

Normally with such a high total we would be inclined to look at the total and say: “Why is it so high, it must be high for a reason and therefore we should take the over”  At least that is how we think.  However, in this game I see a bunch of very good offensive players getting together that have not played in a long time and not together at all.  I don’t think all of that will translate into a high scoring affair.  Go with the under but don’t go crazy.  We have been killing it in college hoops so save your money for those wagers and thank us when it is all said and done.

Free Pick:  NFC/AFC Under 57

Jets at Colts: 1-24-10

January 24, 2010

Today the Jets travel to Indianapolis for the much anticipated AFC championship to take on the Colts.  Last time the Jets headed to Indy the Colts decided to rest their starters which ultimately propelled the Jets into the this position that they are in right now.

Two words: Peyton Manning.  Manning will not lose this game.  He is too much a student of the game and he will not allow the Jets, well rounded, defense to stop him today.  The Jets offense will be forced into a position that they are very uncomfortable with, playing from behind and forcing Sanchez to put the ball in the air and get away from their ground assault.

Expect the Jets to keep it close for the first half holding the Colts to some field goal attempts as opposed a constant touchdown barrage.  The Jets fairytale season will start to unwind in the third quarter and the Colts will run away with this one by double digits.

Free Pick: Colts -8

Vikings at Saints: 1-24-10

January 24, 2010

Tonight the Vikings head to New Orleans to take on the Saints in the much anticipated NFC championship.  Favre has had a magical season proving all of the statistics wrong as to what a 40 year old quarterback was capable of.  Brees has dazzled us all season with another great year behind center.  The running games of these two team have been quite surprising.  the Vikings have taken a step backwards running the ball while it is the Saints who continue to pound the rock into the end-zone.

Both defense are capable of having a big day creating pressure, turnovers and sacking the QB.  For the Vikings J Allen is an absolute monster.  The Saints will have the home crowd, however, the Vikings are used to playing in this environment.

The Vikings will score early and hold onto the lead to somewhat take the crowd out of it.  Look for Favre to continue his season of destiny.

Free Pick: Vikings + 3.5

NFC Match-up: Cowboys at Vikings: 1-17-10

January 17, 2010

On Sunday  at 1:00 EST the Cowboys head to Minnesota to take on Brett Favre and the Minnesota Vikings in the second game of the NFC Divisional playoff round.  The Vikings seemed to be faltering down the stretch but finished very strong with a blowout at home of the New York Giants.  The Cowboys seem to have all of the momentum going for them after knocking off a tough Philadelphia Eagles team at home, not once, but two weeks in a row.  This game should be the most entertaining and most hyped of this Divisional weekend.

The Dallas defense will be the key to this game because they have been plaing at a very high level and if they can continue that type of play they will force pressure and turnovers from Favre.  We know that both offenses can put up points especially through the air.  What we don’t know is which Adrian Peterson will show up or maybe even more accurately stated, which Minnesota offensive line will show up.

I go with the Dallas Cowboys as the only underdog to advance in this weekends match-ups.  I think the Cowboys might be this seasons team of destiny and will definitely cover this game getting the 2.5.  If possible I would buy the half of point to cover the field goal loss but the Cowboys will most likely win this game outright.

FREE PICK ONE IS 10-0 IN OUR LAST TEM PICKS SINCE WEDNESDAY.  WE HOPE OUR HARD WORK AND GAME ANALYZATION IS PAYING OFF FOR YOU.  WE ARE 11-3 OVERALL THIS WEEK.  WE KNOW WHAT WE ARE DOING AND OUR SERVICE IS FREE.  TAKE ADVANTAGE!

Free Pick:  Dallas Cowboys + 2.5

Sunday’s AFC Playoff Game: Jets at Chargers 1-17-10

January 17, 2010

On Sunday afternoon at 4:40 the final game of the Divisional playoff weekend will take place between the New York Jets and the San Diego Chargers.  The Jets come in to this game with a lot of momentum after beating the Cincinnati Bengals for the second time in as many weeks and now the travel to San Diego with house money.  The Chargers have just as much momentum as they have won eleven in a row and look to keep the streak alive in front of their home crowd.

The Jets, in case Rex Ryan hasn’t gotten your ear, have the best rushing attack and defense in the NFL, a lethal combination.  They will need more than that to knock off the high powered Chargers offense.  The Chargers will get their share of points even if they are going up against the best statistical defense in the NFL.  Phillip Rivers with his top two targets, deep threat Vincent Jackson and sure-handed Antonio Gates, will be able to pass the ball on the Jets even with the runner up defensive player of the year shadowing Jackson.   The running attack is formidable with the one-two punch of Tomlinson and Sproles and they will be able to make plays out of the backfield.

The Jets simply will not be able to play the style of game which they need to in order to have any chance of success.  Sanchez will be forced to make plays and that spells disaster for the Jets offense.  The Jets would need to play a flawless game in order to have a legitimate chance at winning and they will  not be able to do so as the crowd and special teams will cause problems as well.

Look for the Chargers to pull away early and win by double digits today in san Diego.  Phillip Rivers is playing as well as any other quarterbacks that are left in the tournament and he will propel his Chargers to a date next week with the Indianapolis Colts for the AFC title.  Chargers win this one easy.

Free Pick:  San Diego Chargers -7

Arizona Cardinals at New Orleans Saints: 4:30 EST 1-16-10

January 16, 2010

The divisional round of the NFL playoffs kickoff on Saturday at 4:30 with an NFC clash between the NFC West Division champion Arizona Cardinals and the number one seeded NFC South Division champion New Orleans Saints.  When you look at this game you instantly can’t help to think of offense. Of course, why wouldn’t you.  this game has the potential to be a replay of lat weeks match-up between the Cardinals and the Packers.  However, there will be a huge difference.  The Saints will shut down the Cardinals offensive attack.

The Saints had one of the top rated defensive units in the league throughout much of the season.  They have had plenty of rest and time to prepare for the Cardinals led by Kurt Warner and company and they game plan will be simple.  Pressure the aging Warner and don’t give him time to find the wide open Cardinal receivers.  The Saints faithful will be relentless as they will cause havoc for Warner as he tries to audible at the line or when he is backed up deep in his own territory.

As for the Saints offense they will be able to score at will against a very flawed Cardinal defense.  What might surprise you in this game is the amount of rushing attempts the Saints call.  They have a potent attack let by Thomas and nicely complimented by Bush and they will be able to run the ball at will which will set up many passing opportunities for Drew Brees and his plethora of wide outs.

I expect the difference in this game to be the Saints defense.  The Saints offense will be able to move the ball up and down the field, however, the Cardinals will not be able to keep up with the scoring.  The Saints defensive line will be able to apply a great deal of pressure on Warner which will lead to several hurried attempts and the Cardinal will consequently lose the turnover battle which is crucial in post-season play.  This will be quite an entertaining game, unfortunately for Kurt Warner it might be his last and he will not be on the victorious side.  The Saints will win by double digits and hold the Cardinals to a surprisingly low total of points. The Arizona Cardinals at the New Orleans Saints will result in the Saints advancing to and hosting the NFC championship game in their home building next week.

Free Pick:  New Orleans Saints – 7

Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts: 8:15 EST 1-16-10

January 16, 2010

In the night cap on Saturday the Baltimore Ravens will travel to Indianapolis to take on Peyton Manning and the Colts.  The Ravens looked great last weekend in New England as they totally dominated the Patriots.  Most importantly they gave the veteran Tom Brady fits as they caused several turnovers and took over the game early in the first quarter.  They come in with a lot of momentum and all of the confidence in the world.

The Colts on the other hand pissed away their undefeated season in week 16 against the Jets after pulling out their starters early in third quarter.  They lost that game and the next against the Bills and finished with a 14-2 record.  However, they did save a little face after the Patriots lost Wes Welker for the season in the final week in a seemingly meaningless game for the Patriots.

So here we are in the playoffs, how will the Colts respond?  Like a well oiled machine.  The Colts will come out with a head of steam and never look back.  Manning will march his team up and down the field and the quick Colts defense will cause fits for the offense and force J Flacco to throw the ball for more than 40 yards this week.  The Colts seem to be a team of somewhat destiny right now led by one of the greatest quarterbacks in the history of the NFL.  The Colts will win and win big this week and give the home crowd a much better showing than the last time they were home against the Jets.

Free Pick: Colts – 6.5

Green Bay Packers at Arizona Cardinals: 1/10/10

January 10, 2010

Once again the Green Bay Packers will invade the Cardinals in Arizona as they look to gain a victory against the same Cardinals for the second time in two weeks.  The Jets did it.  The Cowboys did it.  Will the Cardinals do it?  NO.  They will not.

From a betting standpoint this game jumps out at me like no other game this weekend.  Ask anyone you know who is going to win this game.  Packers, PACKERS, GB, Green Bay, The Pack…….  Those are the responses you will hear.  The public has bet the line up to Green Bay giving 2 in some casinos and might go as high as 3 by kickoff this afternoon.  If everyone knows who is going to win then why are they playing the game and why am I not betting my house on the Packers, it is so easy, right?  Wrong!  The Cardinals are the play here today.  Warner and Fitzgerald will have monster days and carve up the Green Bay secondary.  The second trip to Arizona will not be quite as king to the Packers.

This is the only game I am going to play this weekend.  You can’t be right about every game which is why I like to pick my spots.  This game is very easy, ask anybody, there is an obvious choice.  The only problem is that everyone will tell you the wrong answer today.

Free Pick:  Arizona Cardinals +2

Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots 1/10/10

January 10, 2010

The Baltimore Ravens will travel to Foxborough today at 1:00 EST to take on the banged up New England Patriots.  This game will be played by the Patriots without their key possession receiver Wes Welker.  He is a huge part of the offense and will be missed dearly by QB Tom Brady.  Their is also concern about the health of Randy Moss.  He will probably play but might not be at one hundred percent.  However, the bizarro  Wes Welker, J Edelman, will be ready to go and has filled in nicely when Welker has not been able to go this year.

The New England defense has been suspect all year and Coach Belicek hs openly announced that his defense is not playing well this year and that they are currently in a state of rebuilding.  Baltimore will be able to score on them early and often as long as they protect the ball and do not make mistakes that will cost them in the hostile New England environment.

The  Ravens offense led by Quarterback J. Flacco has a veteran group of receivers in D Mason and T Heap who has had a great rebound year at the tight end position.  Also the Baltimore running game with R Rice has chewed up opposing defenses throughout the course of the year.

The Baltimore defense is no longer that dominant unit that opposing quarterback’s had nightmares about on the eve of game day but they have been very solid all year.  They are still very strong against the run but have allowed big chunks of yardage through the air.

This game will be tight, back and forth and high scoring affair today in New England.  However, the Ravens will walk away with a very rare victory in New England.  At the very least they will cover the spread as more than a field goal underdog.

Free Pick:  Baltimore + 3.5

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