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AFC Wild-card game: New York Jets at the Cincinnati Bengals: 4:30 EST 1/9/10

Today the New York Jets invade Cincinnati one week removed from opening up a can of whoop-ass on the Bengals last week in their home building.  The Jets blanked the Bengals in a “win and in” situation and they more than got the job done.  The Jets possess a potent rushing attack and statistically superior defense.  The also have a rookie QB under center and a first year head coach who has already come out and proclaimed that the Jets are the best team in the NFL and should be favored to win the Superbowl.

Rex, coaching 101.  Don’t give the other team any reason or motivation to want to beat you even more than they already have.  Now, this is playoff football and there should be no need for any thing extra to get the teams, players, coaches and fans fired up for some good old-fashioned smash mouth playoff football.  That being said Rex Ryan did it again.  Just like he mismanaged the clock two times earlier this season and potentially cost his team a victory in each occasion, his mouth may now prove to serve the same purpose.

Now, all that being said, I do think that the Bengals are the better all around team.  They are home, their run game is just as effective as the Jets, their defense has performed great all season, they have an experienced QB in Carson Palmer and they will be looking to avenge last weeks shutout loss this week when they are actually playing for something.  The Bengals will not go far in the playoffs, however, they will secure a home playoff victory in front of the home crowd today in what will most likely be a low scoring affair.  This will probably be a three to six point win for the Bengals, however, just enough to cover the spread.

Free Pick:  Bengals – 2.5

NFC Wild-card Round: Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys 8:00 PM EST. 1/9/10

Today’s free pick in the NFC wild-card round is a tough call as both the Dallas
Cowboys and the Philadelphia Eagles are both capable of making it all the way to the Superbowl.  The Cowboys enter this contest stealing the title as the hottest team in the NFC from the same Philadelphia Eagles just last week.  Everyone was talking about the Eagles and how they had all the momentum and how Tony Romo cannot win games late in the season when they count. Then wham, just like that the Cowboys blanked a confused and lethargic Eagles squad stealing the crown of the NFC East.

That leads us to today, a rematch.  The Eagles will be prepared to stop the Cowboys run attack and force Tony Romo to beat them with Witten and Austin.  The defense of Philadelphia will be ready this week as we will see different looks that include a lot more blitz packages and different looks.  The Eagles have a very well rounded team in all three phases of the game and Desean Jackson could be the difference maker tonight returning punts and streaking down the field on offense.

From a gambling standpoint this game is easy.  The Eagles will win outright and cover.  The odds of the Dallas Cowboys beating and covering against the same team THREE times in one season is very difficult.  The Eagles have a brainiac head coach ( Belicek-like) who will have his team more than prepared for tonight’s tilt.  Take the Eagles and take them with confidence.  If you can take the money line I would recommend you use that to your advantage and put an equal wager on both.  The Eagles are the clear play here and will make their way to round two and take on the New Orleans Saints next week in the Superdome.

Free Pick:  Philadelphia Eagles + 3.5

Free NFL Picks- Check Back Saturday- Playoff Time

New York Giants vs. Minnesota Vikings 1-3-10

The New York Giants and the Minnesota Vikings will both be trying to pick up a win on Sunday when they battle at The Metrodome.

Oddsmakers currently have the Vikings listed as 7½-point favorites versus the Giants, while the game’s total is sitting at 48.

The Giants lost to Carolina 41-9 as an 8.5-point favorite in Week 16. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (43).

Eli Manning passed for 296 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions for the Giants and Steve Smith had seven receptions for 70 yards and a touchdown.

The Vikings were upset 36-30 by the Bears in overtime in Week 16, as 8.5-point favorites. That game’s 66 points sailed OVER the posted total of 41.

Adrian Peterson ran for 94 yards with a pair of touchdowns.

Current streak:
Minnesota has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
New York: 8-7 SU, 6-8-1 ATS
Minnesota: 11-4 SU, 8-6-1 ATS

New York most recently:
When playing in January are 4-6
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 4-6

Minnesota most recently:
When playing in January are 4-6
When playing on turf are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Giants last 6 games
NY Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
NY Giants are 18-5 ATS in their last 23 games on the road
NY Giants are 19-6 SU in their last 25 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
Minnesota is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

FREE PICK : GIANTS   +9

Tennessee Titans vs. Seattle Seahawks 1-3-10

The Tennessee Titans and the Seattle Seahawks will both be trying to pick up a win on Sunday when they battle at Qwest Field.

Oddsmakers currently have the Titans listed as 6-point favorites versus the Seahawks, while the game’s total is sitting at 45.

Vince Young was picked off twice in the Titans’ 42-17 loss to the Chargers in Week 16.

The Titans had been favored by 3 points at home in that contest, while the combined score went OVER the night’s posted total (47).

The Seahawks lost to Green Bay 48-10 as a 13.5-point underdog in Week 16. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (43.5).

Matt Hasselbeck threw for 198 yards with a touchdown and four interceptions for Seattle, while Justin Forsett rushed for 70 yards on 14 carries.

Current streak:
Seattle has lost 3 straight games.

Team records:
Tennessee: 7-8 SU, 6-9 ATS
Seattle: 5-10 SU, 5-10 ATS

Tennessee most recently:
When playing in January are 3-7
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 5-5

Seattle most recently:
When playing in January are 5-5
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee’s last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Tennessee is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee’s last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle’s last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle’s last 5 games when playing Tennessee

FREE PICK: TENNESSEE   -6

Cincinnati Bengals vs. New York Jets 1-3-10

The Cincinnati Bengals and the New York Jets will both be trying to pick up a win on Sunday when they battle at Giants Stadium.

Oddsmakers currently have the Jets listed as 9½-point favorites versus the Bengals, while the game’s total is sitting at 34½.

The Bengals defeated Kansas City 17-10 as a 13-point favorite in Week 16. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (39.5).

Cedric Benson rushed for 133 yards on 29 carries for Cincinnati and Carson Palmer passed for 139 yards with two touchdowns and an interception in the win.

The Jets defeated Indianapolis 29-15 as a 3-point underdog in Week 16. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (40.5).

Thomas Jones rushed for 105 yards with a touchdown on 23 carries for the Jets, while Shonn Green rushed for 95 yards on 16 carries in the win.

Team records:
Cincinnati: 10-5 SU, 7-8 ATS
New York: 8-7 SU, 8-7 ATS

Cincinnati most recently:
When playing in January are 4-6
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 5-5

New York most recently:
When playing in January are 5-5
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
Cincinnati is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 7 games when playing NY Jets
NY Jets are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
NY Jets are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Jets last 5 games
NY Jets are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games

FREE PICK : JETS  -9.5

Houston Texans vs. Miami Dolphins 12-27-09

The Houston Texans and the Miami Dolphins will both be trying to pick up a win on Sunday when they battle at Land Shark Stadium.

Oddsmakers currently have the Dolphins listed as 1½-point favorites versus the Texans, while the game’s total is sitting at 46.

The Texans defeated St. Louis 16-13 as a 14-point underdog in Week 15. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (43.5).

Matt Schaub passed for 367 yards with a touchdown for Houston and Andre Johnson caught nine passes for 196 yards in the win.

The Dolphins lost to Tennessee 27-24 in overtime as a 5-point underdog in Week 15. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (43).

Chad Henne threw for 349 yards with a touchdown and three interceptions for Miami and Ricky Williams rushed for 80 yards and a TD on 19 carries.

Current streak:
Houston has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Houston: 7-7 SU, 6-7-1 ATS
Miami: 7-7 SU, 8-6 ATS

Houston most recently:
When playing in December are 7-3
When playing on grass are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 7-3

Miami most recently:
When playing in December are 7-3
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston’s last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston’s last 7 games
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Houston is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 6 games at home
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

Next up:
Houston home to New England, Sunday, January 3
Miami home to Pittsburgh, Sunday, January 3

FREE PICK: HOUSTON  +1.5

Carolina Panthers vs. New York Giants 12-27-09

The fans at Giants Stadium will be treated to a game between the Carolina Panthers and the New York Giants when they take their seats on Sunday.

Oddsmakers currently have the Giants listed as 7½-point favorites versus the Panthers, while the game’s total is sitting at 42½.

The Panthers defeated Minnesota 26-7 as an 8.5-point underdog in Week 15. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (43).

Matt Moore passed for 299 yards with three touchdowns for Carolina, while Steve Smith caught nine passes for 157 yards and a touchdown.

Eli Manning went 19-of-26 for 268 yards with three touchdowns, as the Giants hammered the Redskins 45-12 in Week 15.

New York covered as 1-point road favorites, while the teams played OVER the 43.5-point total set by oddsmakers.

Team records:
Carolina: 6-8 SU, 7-7 ATS
New York: 8-6 SU, 6-7-1 ATS

Carolina most recently:
When playing in December are 7-3
When playing on turf are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 3-7

New York most recently:
When playing in December are 4-6
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina’s last 5 games
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina’s last 5 games when playing NY Giants
Carolina is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Giants last 7 games at home
NY Giants are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games at home
NY Giants are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games

Next up:
Carolina home to New Orleans, Sunday, January 3
NY Giants at Minnesota, Sunday, January 3

FREE PICK: CAROLINA   +8

Seattle Seahawks vs. Green Bay Packers 12-27-09

The Seattle Seahawks and the Green Bay Packers will both be trying to pick up a win on Sunday when they battle at Lambeau Field.

Oddsmakers currently have the Packers listed as 14-point favorites versus the Seahawks, while the game’s total is sitting at 42.

The Seahawks lost to Tampa Bay 24-7 as a 6.5-point underdog in Week 15. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (39).

Matt Hasselbeck passed for 256 yards with a touchdown and four interceptions for Seattle, while John Carlson caught seven passes for 86 yards and a TD.

The Packers lost to Pittsburgh 37-36 as a 3-point underdog in Week 15. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (42).

Aaron Rodgers passed for 383 yards with three touchdown passes and a TD run for Green Bay, while Greg Jennings had five receptions for 118 yards and a TD.

Current streak:
Seattle has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Seattle: 5-9 SU, 5-9 ATS
Green Bay: 9-5 SU, 9-4-1 ATS

Seattle most recently:
When playing in December are 4-6
When playing on grass are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 2-8
When playing outside the division are 3-7

Green Bay most recently:
When playing in December are 5-5
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle’s last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle’s last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle’s last 6 games when playing Green Bay
Seattle is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Green Bay is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Next up:
Seattle home to Tennessee, Sunday, January 3
Green Bay at Arizona, Sunday, January 3

FREE PICK: GREEN BAY -14

NFL FREE PICK 12-25-09

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