College Basketball Pick Michigan State at Illinois 1-18-11

January 18, 2011

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#18 Michigan State Spartans at #22 Illinois Fighting Illini

Tuesday January 18, 2011 7:00 PM EST

Line: Illinois -4

Michigan State has won 2 straight games, both being on OT. They are 2-2 on the road thus far. The Spartans are 3-3 vs ranked opponents on the year. Illinois has lost 2 straight coming into this Big Ten matchup. Those 2 were on the road. The Illini are now 9-0 at home and carry a 2-3 record vs ranked opponents.

Stats to consider:

Michigan State Spartans:

  • Michigan State is 12-5 with a 4-1 Big Ten record.
  • Points per game: 73.1 (99th)
  • Field Goal PCT: .448 (128th)
  • Rebounds per game: 39.4 (34th)
  • Assists per game: 16.4 (21st)

Illinois Fighting Illini:

  • Illinois is 13-5 with a 3-2 Big Ten record.
  • Points per game: 75.4 (56th)
  • Field Goal PCT: .479 (31st)
  • Rebounds per game: 35.6 (159th)
  • Assists per game: 16.9 (19th)

What to watch for:

  • Michigan State Senior F Draymond Green leads the team with 8.9 RPG and also has 12.8 PPG.
  • Spartans Senior G Kalin Lucas leads the team with 14.7 PPG and is shooting .415% from 3.
  • Illinois Senior G Demetri McCamey leads the team with 16.2 PPG and 7 APG all while shooting .526% from 3.
  • Illinois Senior F Mike Davis is 2nd with 10.7 PPG and 6.4 RPG.

This basketball pick will come down to how Illinois shakes off their 2 loss road trip. They have not lost a game at home all year, so there is some upside to taking the Illini. The Spartans lost their last road game, then followed that up with 2 OT wins at home by 4 points or less. This should be a great Big Ten matchup.

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