Arkansas State at Illinois free pick

September 3, 2011

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The Arkansas State Red Wolves and the Illinois Fighting Illini will both be looking to go 1-0 on the season when they meet at Memorial Stadium on Saturday.

Oddsmakers currently have the Fighting Illini listed as 21-point favorites versus the Red Wolves, while the game’s total is sitting at 57½.

Team records:
Arkansas State: 4-8 SU, 7-5 ATS
Illinois: 7-6 SU, 8-4 ATS

Arkansas State most recently:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the conference are 1-9

Illinois most recently:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the conference are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas State’s last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas State’s last 6 games
Arkansas State is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games
Arkansas State is 5-15 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Illinois’s last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Illinois’s last 7 games
Illinois is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

Next up:
Arkansas State home to Memphis, Saturday, September 10
Illinois home to South Dakota State, Saturday, September 10

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