Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers football college predictions:Free College Football Pick Against the Spread

September 30, 2011

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The Arkansas State Red Wolves and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers will both be trying to pick up a win on Saturday when they battle at L.T. Smith Stadium.

Oddsmakers currently have the Red Wolves listed as 12-point favorites versus the Hilltoppers, while the game’s total is sitting at 52½.

Arkansas State was a 53-24 winner in its last match at home against Central Arkansas. They covered the 20.5–point spread as favorites, while the total score of 77 sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

Western Kentucky was a 44-16 loser in their most recent outing at home against Indiana State. They failed to cover the 14–point spread as favorites, while the total score (60) made winners of OVER bettors.

Current streak:
Western Kentucky has lost 3 straight games.

Team records:
Arkansas State: 2-2 SU, 4-0 ATS
Western Kentucky: 0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS

Arkansas State most recently:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing within the conference are 6-4

Western Kentucky most recently:
When playing in October are 1-9
When playing on turf are 2-8
After being outgained are 0-10
When playing within the conference are 2-8

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arkansas State’s last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas State’s last 6 games
Arkansas State is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
Arkansas State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Western Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Western Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

Next up:
Arkansas State at Louisiana-Monroe, Saturday, October 8
Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee, Thursday, October 6

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