Central Florida Knights vs. Southern Methodist Mustangs Free Pick Against the Spread:Free College Football predictions

October 14, 2011

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The fans at Gerald J. Ford Stadium will be treated to a game between the Central Florida Knights and the Southern Methodist Mustangs when they take their seats on Saturday.

Oddsmakers currently have the Mustangs listed as 3½-point favorites versus the Knights, while the game’s total is sitting at 46.

Last time out for Central Florida, they were a 16-6 winner as they battled Marshall at home. Central Florida failed to cover in the match as a 19.5-point favorite, while 22 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

Southern Methodist won its last outing, a 40-33 result against TCU on October 1. Southern Methodist covered in that game as a 13-point underdog, while the 73 combined points took the game OVER the total.

Current streak:
Southern Methodist has won 4 straight games.

Team records:
Central Florida: 3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS
Southern Methodist: 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS

Central Florida most recently:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 9-1

Southern Methodist most recently:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Central Florida’s last 5 games
Central Florida is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Central Florida’s last 5 games on the road
Central Florida is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Methodist’s last 6 games at home
Southern Methodist is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Southern Methodist is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Southern Methodist’s last 11 games

Next up:
Central Florida at UAB, Thursday, October 20
Southern Methodist at Southern Miss, Saturday, October 22

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