College Football Pick Air Force at TCU 10-23-10

October 22, 2010


Air Force Falcons at #5 TCU Horned Frogs

Saturday October 23, 2010 8:00 PM EST

Line: TCU -18.5

Big time MWC matchup for the Horned Frogs this week. Air Force was ranked going into last week when they lost at San Diego State 27-25. Air Force comes into this game 5-2 with a 3-1 MWC record. They are 1-2 on the road with no game being decided by more than a TD. TCU has looked great this season and are 7-0 with a 3-0 MWC record. They have a 5-0 home record and in their last two games they won by a total 76-3.

Air Force surprisingly did not play at a high level last week, snapping their three game winning streak. They rank 31st on defense allowing 19.4 points a game. Their offense comes in at 32nd with 33.1 points a game. If the Falcons are going to cover the line, they will need their passing game to step it up. They rank 115th with 123.3 passing yards a game, 115th worst. Their rushing game is the best in the land with 346.9 yards a game. Junior RB Asher Jew will need to step it up after the injury to RB Jerred Tew who lead the team in rushing before last week when he hurt his leg. Tew is out for season.

TCU has been the best scoring defense this year allowing 9.3 points a game. Their offense has been good as well with 40.1 points a game, 7th best. Their passing game comes in at 64th overall with 213 yards a game. Their rushing game has been huge with 255.4 yards a game, 10th best. Look for Sophomore RB Ed Wesley to have a huge game as he leads the ground game with 665 yards and 7 TDs.

Football picks are always hindered by injuries. The fact that Air Force’s top ranked rushing attack is going to be down their leading rusher, they could struggle in this game. That fact added with the fact that TCU has allowed under 10 points this season could spell disaster for Air Force. TCU will be able to score on Air Force while shutting down the Falcons offense down their best running back.

Free College Football Pick: TCU -18.5

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