College Football Pick Baylor at Texas 10-30-10

October 27, 2010


#25 Baylor Bears at Texas Longhorns

Saturday October 30, 2010 7:00 PM EST

Line: Texas -7

Vegas is siding on with Texas bouncing back in this game. I’m not buying it though. Texas lost to an Iowa State team that had gotten whopped the previous week at Oklahoma 52-0. Baylor has won two straight games, one on the road then one at home.

Stats to consider:

Baylor Bears:

  • The Bears are 6-2 with a 3-1 Big 12 record.
  • They are 2-1 on the road.
  • Points against per game: 23.3 (49th)
  • Points for a game: 34.9 (20th)
  • Rushing yards a game: 196.5 (26th)
  • Passing yards a game: 314.3 (5th)

Texas Longhorns:

  • Texas is 4-3 this season with a 2-2 Big 12 record.
  • They are 2-3 at home, 3 straight home loses.
  • Points against per game: 20.1 (33rd)
  • Points for per game: 23.6 (80th)
  • Passing yards a game: 222.4 (58th)
  • Rushing yards a game: 136.3 (83rd)

What to watch for:

  • Baylor’s Sophomore QB Robert Griffin III has 2,373 passing yards with 18 TDs and only 4 Ints. In his last game in a victory vs Kansas State he threw for 404 yards with 4 TDs and only 1 Int. Griffin also has 384 yards rushing this season with another 6 TDs.
  • Bear’s Senior RB Jay Finley is coming off his best game of the season in which he rushed for 250 yards and 2 TDs. His season total is at 697 yards and 5 TDs.
  • Sophomore QB Garrett Gilbert has struggled somewhat this season but is the only offense this team has. Gilbert has thrown for 1,557 yards with 6 TDs and 8 Ints.

Don’t look for Texas to upset in this sports pick. I like Baylor without the points. This Texas team has underperformed all year and I don’t see them excelling this week vs a very good Baylor team. Baylor has the better QB coming into this game and the better overall team.

Free College Football Pick: Baylor +7

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