College Football Pick Fresno State at Boise State 11-19-10

November 16, 2010

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Fresno State Bulldogs at #4 Boise State Broncos

Friday November 19, 2010 9:30 PM EST

Line: Boise State -30.5

This line seems pretty big at first glance. Fresno State nearly beat Nevada last week 35-34. The key to evaluating this game is the road opponents that the Bulldogs have played. Their toughest opponents have been Ole Miss and Utah State. Boise State is on a mission to blow out every opponent they play trying to get to the National Championship game.

Stats to consider:

Fresno State Bulldogs:

  • Fresno State is 6-3 with a 4-2 WAC record.
  • They are 3-1 on the road.
  • Points against per game: 28.4 (77th)
  • Points for per game: 34.7 (23rd)
  • Passing yards a game: 219.2 (61st)
  • Rushing yards a game: 180.3 (35th)

Boise State Broncos:

  • The Broncos are 9-0 with a 5-0 WAC record.
  • They are 4-0 on the road, and this is their toughest road game yet.
  • Points against per game: 12.8 (2nd)
  • Points for per game: 47.6 (2nd)
  • Passing yards a game: 315.9 (7th)
  • Rushing yards a game: 214.3 (16th)

What to watch for:

  • Bulldogs RB Robbie Rouse has 944 yards and 8 TDs this year. He has 117 receiving yards and another 2 TDs. He has  now ran for 200+ yards the last two weeks and has rushed for 7 TDs in his last 4 games.
  • Fresno State Senior QB Ryan Colburn has 1,930 yards 18 TDs and 7 Ints.
  • Watch out for Bronco Junior QB Kellen Moore. Moore has 2,588 yards 24 TDs and 4 Ints. Moore doesn’t have a game throwing for less than 2 TDs this season.
  • Boise State Junior RB Doug Martin has 866 yards and 8 TDs. He has caught 197 yards and a TD thru the air.

Sports picks are always affected by the betting lines. 30 points are hard to give up, even with a great Boise State team. Boise State got to rest their starters last week in a blowout 52-14 over Idaho. They also got extra time to rest because that game was on a Friday. Fresno State was in a dog fight with Nevada last week and must be upset that they let that one get away. Fresno State will keep this one reasonably close I’d have to believe. This is arguably the toughest opponent that Boise State has faced.

Free College Football Pick: Fresno State +30.5


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