College Football Pick Nevada Reno at Nevada Las Vegas 10-2-2010

September 30, 2010

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Nevada Wolf Pack at UNLV Rebels

Satruday October 2nd 2010 10 PM EST

Line: Nevada -21

Overview:

The Wolf Pack have to be the breakout team of this year. Nobody has figured out how to contain them this season, which has earned them a 4-0 start. The UNLV Rebels beat New Mexico, but the fact that they were held to under 50 against that team has to be disappointing. UNLV is not up to speed with the Wolf Pack, but a victory over newly ranked UNR would be great for their in state rivalry.

Keys to the Game:

  • Nobody has been able to figure out how to stop the Pistol offense UNR runs. Coaches from all levels were at the facility, trying to get a little genius rubbed off on them as they took in the intricacies of the offense. Chris Ault has something going with his confusing offense. The running back is directly behind the quarterback. Like the Wildcat offense in the NFL and the Wing T in high school, the cool new gimmick in college football is the pistol. Eventually, someone will find a way to stop it, but I don’t see it happening this week. Regardless, it’s worth turning on your TV for.
  • Senior Quarterback Omar Clayton goes AWOL against ranked opponents. He went 14-20 for 3 touchdowns last week against New Mexico. A more comparable opponent would be Utah, where he completed 47 percent of his passes and threw for just over 200 yards. UNLV struggles on the ground, so they rely heavily on their quarterback play. His experience limits his picks, but he won’t impress on Saturday.
  • The Wolf Pack has an underrated defense. They like to torment passers, coming off the edge with athletic rushers like James Michael-Johnson. The Rebels are outmatched on both sides of the ball, but I’m not sure they know just how solid the Wolf Pack is on defense. The offense gets all of the attention, but the defense is not full of slouches.

Wrap Up:

Nevada doesn’t fiddle around with their prey. A lot of people took Cal with their sports picks last week, but Nevada proved their worth. They are relentless and will look to stomp out the Rebels from start to finish. The spread is 21. The Wolf Pack have already put up 49 or more three times this season. I think they will do it again. The Rebel offense is not effective enough to put up any more than 21, so this spread is too small.

Free College Football Pick: Nevada -21


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