College Football Pick Southern Methodist at Navy 10-16-10

October 13, 2010


Southern Methodist Mustangs at Navy Midshipmen

Saturday October 16. 2010 3:30 PM EST

Line: Pick

One of the biggest surprises this season thus far has been the play of Southern Methodist. The Mustangs are 4-2 and look to continue their winning ways looking for their 3rd straight victory. The Mustangs are 1-1 on the road this year. The play of Navy has been a surprise as well. This Navy team is 3-2 and are coming of a 28-27 victory at Wake Forest. Navy is 1-1 at home.

Southern Methodist will look to better their defense in this game. Their defense comes in ranked at 68th in the nation allowing 25.5 points a game. Their offense has been slightly better than average ranking in at 53rd overall with 29.5 points a game. Leading this Mustangs offense has been the passing game. Their passing game is ranked 27th with 265.5 yards a game. Sophomore QB Kyle Padron has been amazing this year and has thrown for 1,564 yards with 16 TDs and 5 Ints. Padron is second in rushing on the team with 173 yards and another TD. The Mustangs rushing game is averaging 149.2 yards a game, 65th overall. Sophomore RB Zach Line leads the team with 552 yards and 5 TDs.

For Navy, their defense has lead the team to victories. They are only allowing 17.6 points a game which is 23rd in the nation. Navy has struggled to put up points only averaging 19.6 a game, 98th worse. They have been able to run the ball effectively averaging 260.2 yards a game, 10th best in the nation. The reason for this has been Senior QB Ricky Dobbs who leads the ground game with 317 yards and 5 TDs. The Navy rushing game has been good, while the passing game has struggled. They are 116th in the nation with 114.6 yards a game. Dobbs has 573 yards with 3 TDs and 4 Ints.

This looks to me to be on of the easier football picks. The line doesn’t favor either team. Not sure what Vegas is seeing with this Navy team, but I am not seeing it. Yes their defense is very good, but they have not seen an offense like that of the Mustangs. Southern Methodist QB Kyle Padron has been on fire lately and should be able to outscore this Navy offense. The key for the Mustangs will be containing Navy QB Ricky Dobbs.

Free College Football Pick: Southern Methodist.

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