College Football Pick Texas at Kansas State 11-6-10

November 3, 2010


Texas Longhorns at Kansas State Wildcats

Saturday November 6, 2010 8:00 PM EST

Line: Texas -3.5

Texas has officially fallen into a state of shock. Shocking that they have lost 4 of their last 5, shocking they are one more loss away from dropping below .500 on the season, and shocking they are 2-3 in the Big 12 and things could get worse. Kansas State started the season off with a 4 game winning streak and have sputtered losing 3 of the last 4, 2 of those being at home vs ranked opponents.

Stats to consider:

Texas Longhorns:

  • Texas is 4-4 on the season with a 2-3 Big 12 record.
  • They are 2-0 on the road this season.
  • Points against per game: 21.4 (41st)
  • Points for per game: 23.4
  • Passing yards a game: 226.8 (53rd)
  • Rushing yards a game: 140.6 (80th)

Kansas State Wildcats:

  • The Wildcats are 5-3 this season with a 2-3 Big 12 record.
  • They are 4-2 at home, looking to break a 2 home game losing streak.
  • Points against per game: 25.6 (66th)
  • Points for per game: 31.4 (39th)
  • Passing yards a game: 180.3 (89th)
  • Rushing yards a game: 193.8 (25th)

What to watch for:

  • Texas in their last 5 games has failed to score more than 22 points while allowing more than 28 points in the 4 loses. This a defense of Texas that most aren’t use to seeing. They won’t carry their team to victories like years past.
  • The Texas offense has relied upon Sophomore QB Garrett Gilbert who has 1,788 yards with 6 TDs and 9 Ints. He has not stepped into Colt McCoys job as nice as everyone thought he would have, and the defense is not helping Gilbert out because Texas has been playing catch up a lot the last 5 weeks.
  • Wildcat Senior RB Daniel Thomas has been dominant this year with 996 yards and 10 TDs. The last three weeks Thomas is averaging about 100 yards and has 4 TDs in those three weeks.
  • Wildcat QB Carson Coffman has been much better than Garrett Gilbert. Coffman has 1,315 yards 8 TDs and 6 Ints. He has 3 Ints the last two weeks so he will have to limit his turnovers as they have killed his team in those two straight loses.

Sports picks are always made easy by struggling teams. Texas has struggled more so than Kansas State has as of late. The 3 loses the Wildcats have in the last 3 weeks were vs ranked opponents. Texas is really discouraged coming into this game and it might be too late for Texas head coach Mack Brown to feed his team motivation. Look for the Wildcats to focus on running the ball early to take pressure off QB Carson Coffman.

Free College Football Pick: Kansas State +3.5

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