College Football Pick Toledo at Boise State 10-9-10

October 6, 2010


Toledo Rockets at #4 Boise State Broncos

Saturday October 9, 2010 8 PM EST

Line: Boise State -39

The good news for Toledo coming into this game is the fact that they do have three road victories. The bad news is that they will be playing a Boise State team that has looked very impressive thus far with a record of 4-0. Boise State has victories over two ranked opponents, Virginia Tech and Oregon State. On the other hand, Toledo has yet to play a ranked team.

Toledo is coming off a 20-15 loss at home vs Wyoming so their confidence will not be high. The strong side of this football team has been the defense. This defense ranks at 60th in the nation only allowing 23.6 points a game. This will be key facing the high powered offense of Boise State. This defense did allow 41 points vs their toughest opponent on the year and that was Arizona. The offense for the Rockets has really been the downfall for the team. They are only averaging 21 points a game which is 92nd in the country. Their rushing game ranks at 83rd with 127.2 yards a game, while the passing game is 105th with 155.8 yards a game. Sophomore QB Austin Dantin has done it all with 663 yards thru the air and 157 yards on the ground with a combined total of 9 TDs.

Boise State has been amazing this year and a huge part of their success has been Junior QB Kellen Moore. Moore has been subject to Heisman talk this year and his stats support the talk. He has thrown for 1,069 yards with 11 TDs and only 1 Int. Mind you that this is thru 4 games. Moore is a major reason why this team ranks 3rd in the nation with 45 points scored a game. This defense is relatively underrated holding opponents to an average of only 15 points a game, 15th best in the nation.

This Boise State team has to go out and prove something every week. Just this past week they were bypassed in the standings by Oregon. I expect this Bronco team to come out a little bit angry and continue to play with a chip on their shoulder. Boise State always comes out and puts on a show at home and in their two games vs non-ranked opponents they won by an average of 50+ points. Both those games were on the road, and vs just an average defense, look for Boise State to make this an easy football pick. Boise State will put up points. The only question is how many? Could be in excess of 50 and I’m banking on the fact that Toledo will struggle to reach their average of 21 points scored a game.

Free College Football Pick: Boise State -39

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