Florida Gators vs. Kentucky Wildcats football college predictions

September 23, 2011

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The Florida Gators and the Kentucky Wildcats will both be trying to pick up a win on Saturday when they battle at Commonwealth Stadium.

Oddsmakers currently have the Gators listed as 19½-point favorites versus the Wildcats, while the game’s total is sitting at 44.

Last time out for Florida, they were a 33-23 winner as they battled Tennessee at home. Florida earned a push in the match as a 10-point favorite, while 56 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors.

Kentucky lost its last outing, a 24-17 result against Louisville on September 17. Kentucky failed to cover in that game as a 4.5-point favorite, while the 41 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

Current streak:
Florida has won 3 straight games.

Team records:
Florida: 3-0 SU, 2-0-1 ATS
Kentucky: 2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS

Florida most recently:
When playing in September are 10-0
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 5-5

Kentucky most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing within the conference are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kentucky
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kentucky
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Florida is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kentucky’s last 5 games
Kentucky is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kentucky’s last 6 games when playing Florida
Kentucky is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

Next up:
Florida home to Alabama, Saturday, October 1
Kentucky at LSU, Saturday, October 1

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