Free College Football Pick: Oklahoma at Missouri 10-23-2010

October 22, 2010


Oklahoma Sooners at Missouri Tigers

Saturday October 23rd, 2010 8:00 PM EST

Line: Oklahoma -3

#11 Missouri will try to hold their own at home against the current number one team in the nation, the Oklahoma Sooners. Both teams are undefeated and this could be a preview of the Big 12 Championship later on in the year. Oklahoma’s efforts are impressive because their roster was torn apart by the NFL draft. Missouri has surprised the nation, but it does not appear that they have shocked themselves. The confidence on both squads is sky high and this is the college football game of the week.

Keys to the Game

  • Blaine Gabbert has been nothing short of spectacular, but for the first time all year long, the Tigers are going to be outmatched. They don’t have the talent to compete with the defensive backs on Oklahoma. Safeties Johnathan Nelson and Quinton Carter cover a ton of ground. If Gabbert thinks he is going to get away with dumping the ball off or finding his receivers in open space, he has another thing coming. The Sooners won’t need to send the kitchen sink at Gabbert, as he is going to have more trouble finding the open man with all of his receivers being covered for the first time all year.
  • Missouri needs to back off a little bit defensively or they will be nickled and dimed to death. The Sooners make a living off short routes that result in a lot of YAC yards. Missou typically likes to be aggressive, but keeping everything underneath them and making sure tackles against Oklahoma’s big time play makers is going to be the keys to their success.
  • Missouri hasn’t faced a ranked opponent all year long. While I can’t hold that against the Tigers, it will not bode well for them as they take on the best team in the land. The Tigers have faced an incredibly weak schedule, even escaping a San Diego State team by only three points. They may have the confidence needed to take out the Sooners, but the talent on their roster is suspect. Competing at the level they will need to be is going to be extremely difficult.

Wrap Up:

The Sooners have earned the number one spot in the nation. The Tigers are at home, but they have not faced an opponent that are anywhere near the Sooners. The spread is only three, but it should be way larger. The Tigers are talented enough to compete against an overrated team like Nebraska, but not quite at the level of Oklahoma. Missou is headed in the right direction, just not at their destination yet.

Free College Football Pick: Oklahoma -3

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