Free College Football Pick: Washington State at Arizona State 10-30-2010

October 29, 2010

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Washington State Cougars at Arizona State Sun Devils

Saturday October 30th, 2010 7:00 PM EST

Line: Arizona St. -21

Overview:

Washington St. has been destroyed by the Pac-10. They have won one game all season long, but will look to turn it around against the 3-4 Arizona State Sun Devils, who are 1-3 against Pac-10 opponents.

Keys to the Game:

  • ASU has to continue to be relentless on defense. Despite giving up huge points at times, Arizona St. allows their presence to be felt throughout the entire game. They have a defense led by sophomore Vontaze Burfict that flies to the ball carrier. Their linebackers are effective against the run and in coverage. They need to unleash their linebackers on sitting duck Jeff Tuel.
  • While Washington St. is terrible, Tuel has played considerably well. He has thrown for fourteen touchdowns and nine picks this season, doing so with a porous offensive line and no running game to be found. While Washington St. has struggled mightily on offense, if they are going to get something going, it is going to be through the air. Arizona St. is vulnerable to big plays because they play so aggressively, but it also means Tuel will need to have a quick trigger.
  • Steven Threet is a turnover machine. He looks the part at times, but one out of every six or so of his throws has Sun Devils fans scratching their heads. Is he the answer? He has thrown more interceptions than touchdowns three times this season and all have resulted in losses. When Threet limits turnovers, the Sun Devils can compete against anyone in the nation. Despite Threets best efforts to throw ASU out of the game against Oregon, the Sun Devils remained competitive, even as they approached the final minutes of the fourth quarter. The Sun Devils can only go as far as a football team as Threet will take them.

Wrap Up:

This spread is way to big. While Washington St. has lost twice by a margin of 21 or more, the failed to do so against even Oregon. The Sun Devils have won by 21 against Portland St. and NAU, but Washington St. deserves more credit than Vegas is giving them. Arizona State is probably going to destroy Washington St., but the Cougars will still be able to put up at least 17 points and keep it within two scores.

Free College Football Pick: Washington St. +21


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