Navy vs Western Kentucky football college predictions

September 9, 2011

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The Navy Midshipmen and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers will both be trying to pick up a win on Saturday when they battle at L.T. Smith Stadium.

Oddsmakers currently have the Midshipmen listed as 9½-point favorites versus the Hilltoppers, while the game’s total is sitting at 52½.

Navy won its last outing, a 40-17 result against Delaware on September 3. Navy covered in that game as a 7.5-point favorite, while the 57 combined points took the game OVER the total.

Western Kentucky was a 14-3 loser in their most recent outing at home against Kentucky. They covered the 17–point spread as underdogs, while the total score (17) made winners of UNDER bettors.

Team records:
Navy: 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS
Western Kentucky: 0-1 SU, 1-0 ATS

Navy most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on turf are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the conference are 7-3

Western Kentucky most recently:
When playing in September are 0-10
When playing on turf are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 2-8
When playing outside the conference are 0-10

A few trends to consider:
Navy is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Navy is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Navy’s last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Western Kentucky’s last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Kentucky’s last 6 games
Western Kentucky is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games
Western Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

Next up:
Navy at South Carolina, Saturday, September 17
Western Kentucky home to Indiana State, Saturday, September 17

Free Pick:  Navy

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