Texas at Texas A&M 11-26-09

November 26, 2009


Texas (11-0, 7-0) clinched the division with a 51-20 win over Kansas on Saturday. The Longhorns will face North Division champion Nebraska in the conference title game at Cowboys Stadium in Arlington on Dec. 5.  With victories over Texas A&M (6-5, 3-4) and Nebraska, the Longhorns will gain a spot in the BCS championship game. The teams ranked ahead of them – No. 1 Florida and No. 2 Alabama -meet for the SEC title Dec. 5.

This year’s game is very similar to the one back in ’05 when an undefeated Texas squad came into Kyle Field and defeated a 5-5 Texas A&M team, 40-29. The Aggies actually led by one point in the second half before the eventual national champions took over. Texas A&M won the next two meetings but Texas rebounded with a 49-9 thrashing last season in what was a transition year for the Aggies in Mike Sherman’s first season as head coach. In addition, that contest was the Longhorns last regular season effort to try to show the powers- that-be that they should be considered a National Championship contender since the game was played two days before the Oklahoma-Oklahoma State battle. This year, they are pretty much locked into the BCS title game as long as they win out. Look for Texas A&M to give them a tussle, especially since the Aggies are solid at home at 5-1 with the only loss coming by just five points to Oklahoma State.

The Longhorns are 11-0 SU and 5-5-1 ATS this year and 7-9-1 ATS in their last 17. They are also 3-1 to the over in their last four games. Texas A&M is 6-5 SU and 5-6 ATS in ’09, with five overs in its last seven games. The Aggies are 2-1 both SU and ATS the last three meetings.  I like the aggies with the points.

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