Virginia Cavaliers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels football college predictions

September 16, 2011

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The Virginia Cavaliers and the North Carolina Tar Heels will both be trying to pick up a win on Saturday when they battle at Kenan Stadium.

Oddsmakers currently have the Tar Heels listed as 10½-point favorites versus the Cavaliers, while the game’s total is sitting at 48.

In their last action, Virginia was a 34-31 winner on the road against Indiana. They failed to cover the 7.5–point spread as favorites, while the combined score (65) was profitable news for OVER bettors.

In their last action, North Carolina was a 24-22 winner at home against Rutgers. They failed to cover the 9.5–point spread as favorites, while the combined score (46) was profitable news for UNDER bettors.

Current streak:
Virginia has won 2 straight games.
North Carolina has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Virginia: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS
North Carolina: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS

Virginia most recently:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 1-9

North Carolina most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia’s last 6 games when playing North Carolina
Virginia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing North Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Virginia’s last 5 games when playing on the road against North Carolina
Virginia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against North Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina’s last 6 games when playing Virginia
North Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina’s last 5 games when playing at home against Virginia
North Carolina is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

Next up:
Virginia home to Southern Miss, Saturday, September 24
North Carolina at Georgia Tech, Saturday, September 24

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