Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Free MLB Picks

September 21, 2012

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If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Friday when the Baltimore Orioles and the Boston Red Sox meet at Fenway Park.
The Orioles will trot Miguel Gonzalez out to the mound in this one. Righthander Gonzalez has a 6-4 record and a 3.77 ERA this season.
Starting this game for the Red Sox will be Jon Lester. The lefthander has a 4.95 ERA to go along with a 9-12 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Red Sox listed as 120-moneyline favorites versus the Orioles, while the game’s total is sitting at 9.
In their last action, Baltimore was a 3-1 winner on the road against the Mariners. Bettors on Baltimore at +138 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (4) sent UNDER bettors home happy as well.
In their last action, Boston was a 7-4 loser on the road against the Rays. Bettors on Tampa Bay at -218 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (11) sent OVER bettors home happy as well.
Current streak:
Baltimore has won 4 straight games.
Boston has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Baltimore: 85-64 SU
Boston: 68-83 SU

Baltimore most recently:
When playing on Friday are 5-5
Before playing Boston are 7-3
After playing Seattle are 7-3
After a win are 6-4

Boston most recently:
When playing on Friday are 4-6
Before playing Baltimore are 3-7
After playing Tampa Bay are 5-5
After a loss are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
Baltimore is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Baltimore’s last 11 games when playing on the road against Boston
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Boston’s last 11 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston’s last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston’s last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Boston is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing Baltimore

Next up:
Boston home to Baltimore, Saturday, September 22


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