Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Free MLB Picks

July 13, 2012

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The Boston Red Sox and the Tampa Bay Rays will meet on the field at Tropicana Field on Friday in a battle of division rivals.
Lefthander Franklin Morales will take the mound for the Red Sox to start this game. Morales is 1-1 this season with a 4.22 ERA.
Morales’s opponent in this one will be Jeremy Hellickson. The Rays righthander has a 3.41 ERA to go along with a 4-5 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Red Sox listed as 105-moneyline favorites versus the Rays, while the game’s total is sitting at 8½.
Boston lost its last outing, a 7-3 result against the Yankees on July 8. Bettors who backed the Yankees at +121 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (10) sent OVER bettors to the payout window.
The Rays were a 7-6 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Indians. That made winners of bettors who got Tampa Bay at -102 on the moneyline, while the total score (13) was good news for OVER bettors.
Team records:
Boston: 43-43 SU
Tampa Bay: 45-41 SU

Boston most recently:
When playing on Friday are 7-3
Before playing Tampa Bay are 6-4
After playing NY Yankees are 3-7
After a loss are 6-4

Tampa Bay most recently:
When playing on Friday are 3-7
Before playing Boston are 5-5
After playing Cleveland are 7-3
After a win are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston’s last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston’s last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston’s last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Boston’s last 14 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay’s last 6 games when playing Boston
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay’s last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Tampa Bay’s last 14 games when playing at home against Boston

Next up:
Tampa Bay home to Boston, Saturday, July 14


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