Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free MLB Picks

September 14, 2012

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If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Friday when the Boston Red Sox and the Toronto Blue Jays meet at Rogers Centre.
The Red Sox will trot Daisuke Matsuzaka out to the mound in this one. Righthander Matsuzaka has a 1-5 record and a 7.20 ERA this season.
Matsuzaka’s opponent in this one will be Aaron Laffey. The Blue Jays lefthander has a 4.72 ERA to go along with a 3-5 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Blue Jays listed as 125-moneyline favorites versus the Red Sox, while the game’s total is sitting at 9.
Boston was a 2-0 loser in its last match at home against the Yankees. They lost as +130 underdogs, while the total score of 2 made winners of UNDER bettors.
Toronto was an 8-3 winner in its last match at home against the Mariners. They won as +141 underdogs, while the total score of 11 made winners of OVER bettors.
Current streak:
Boston has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Boston: 64-80 SU
Toronto: 65-77 SU

Boston most recently:
When playing on Friday are 5-5
Before playing Toronto are 4-6
After playing NY Yankees are 5-5
After a loss are 2-8

Toronto most recently:
When playing on Friday are 6-4
Before playing Boston are 6-4
After playing Seattle are 5-5
After a win are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston’s last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Boston’s last 18 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Boston is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Toronto’s last 18 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto’s last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

Next up:
Toronto home to Boston, Saturday, September 15


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