Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Free MLB Picks

August 17, 2012

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The division rival Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds are set to renew hostilities on Friday when they meet at Great American Ball Park.
The Cubs will trot Travis Wood out to the mound in this one. Lefthander Wood has a 4-8 record and a 4.52 ERA this season.
The Reds will counter Wood with Bronson Arroyo. Righthander Arroyo has a 3.95 ERA to go along with a 8-7 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Reds listed as 200-moneyline favorites versus the Cubs, while the game’s total is sitting at 9.
The Cubs were a 7-2 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Astros. That made winners of bettors who got Chicago at -132 on the moneyline, while the total score (9) was good news for OVER bettors.
Cincinnati was an 8-4 loser in its last match at home against the Mets. They lost as -151 favorites, while the total score of 12 made winners of OVER bettors.
Team records:
Chicago: 46-70 SU
Cincinnati: 71-47 SU

Chicago most recently:
When playing on Friday are 2-8
Before playing Cincinnati are 3-7
After playing Houston are 5-5
After a win are 4-6

Cincinnati most recently:
When playing on Friday are 5-5
Before playing Chi Cubs are 6-4
After playing NY Mets are 5-5
After a loss are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs’s last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chi Cubs’s last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs’s last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chi Cubs’s last 12 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

Next up:
Cincinnati home to Chi Cubs, Saturday, August 18


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