Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Free MLB Picks

May 1, 2012

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The Chicago Cubs and the Cincinnati Reds will meet on the field at Great American Ball Park on Tuesday in a battle of division rivals.
The Cubs will pin their hopes on the pitching of righthander Jeff Samardzija in this game. Samardzija has a 2-1 record and a 4.12 ERA this season.
Samardzija’s opponent in this one will be Bronson Arroyo. The Reds righthander has a 2.70 ERA to go along with a 1-0 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Reds listed as 155-moneyline favorites versus the Cubs, while the game’s total is sitting at 8.
The Cubs were a 6-4 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Phillies. That made winners of bettors who got Philadelphia at -167 on the moneyline, while the total score (10) was good news for OVER bettors.
In their last action, Cincinnati was a 6-5 winner at home against the Astros. Bettors on Cincinnati at -200 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (11) sent OVER bettors home happy as well.
Current streak:
Cincinnati has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Chicago: 8-15 SU
Cincinnati: 11-11 SU

Chicago most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 3-7
Before playing Cincinnati are 5-5
After playing Philadelphia are 3-7
After a loss are 5-5

Cincinnati most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 5-5
Before playing Chi Cubs are 6-4
After playing Houston are 6-4
After a win are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs’s last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs’s last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chi Cubs’s last 10 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Chi Cubs are 5-10 SU in their last 15 games
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Cincinnati is 8-2 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cincinnati’s last 10 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

Next up:
Cincinnati home to Chi Cubs, Wednesday, May 2


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