Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs Free MLB Picks

September 18, 2012

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If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Tuesday when the Cincinnati Reds and the Chicago Cubs meet at Wrigley Field.
The Reds will give the ball to starter Homer Bailey in this one. Righthander Bailey is 11-9 this season with a 3.93 ERA.
It’ll be Justin Germano toeing the rubber for the Cubs in this contest. Righthander Germano is 2-6 with a 6.46 ERA so far this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Reds listed as 155-moneyline favorites versus the Cubs, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
Cincinnati won its last outing, a 5-4 result against the Marlins on September 16. Bettors who backed the Reds at -127 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (9) sent OVER bettors to the payout window.
The Cubs were a 3-0 loser in their most recent outing at home against the Pirates. That made winners of bettors who got Pittsburgh at +101 on the moneyline, while the total score (3) was good news for UNDER bettors.
Team records:
Cincinnati: 88-59 SU
Chicago: 58-89 SU

Cincinnati most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 1-9
Before playing Chi Cubs are 5-5
After playing Miami are 4-6
After a win are 5-5

Chicago most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 5-5
Before playing Cincinnati are 4-6
After playing Pittsburgh are 4-6
After a loss are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati’s last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs’s last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs’s last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Chi Cubs are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games
Chi Cubs are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games at home

Next up:
Chi Cubs home to Cincinnati, Wednesday, September 19


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