Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs Free MLB Picks

September 20, 2012

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If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Thursday when the Cincinnati Reds and the Chicago Cubs meet at Wrigley Field.
Johnny Cueto will be the starting pitcher for the Reds on this day. Righthander Cueto is 17-9 this season with a 2.92 ERA.
Cueto’s opponent in this one will be Jason Berken. The Cubs righthander has a 4.50 ERA to go along with a 0-1 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Reds listed as 180-moneyline favorites versus the Cubs, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
In their last action, Cincinnati was a 6-5 winner on the road against the Cubs. Bettors on Cincinnati at -144 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (11) sent UNDER bettors home happy as well.
Current streak:
Cincinnati has won 3 straight games.
Chicago has lost 3 straight games.

Team records:
Cincinnati: 90-59 SU
Chicago: 58-91 SU

Cincinnati most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 5-5
Before playing LA Dodgers are 5-5
After playing Chi Cubs are 8-2
After a win are 5-5

Chicago most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 2-8
Before playing St. Louis are 6-4
After playing Cincinnati are 3-7
After a loss are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Cincinnati is 8-1 SU in their last 9 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati’s last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs’s last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi Cubs’s last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs’s last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games

Next up:
Cincinnati home to LA Dodgers, Friday, September 21
Chi Cubs home to St. Louis, Friday, September 21


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