Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free MLB Picks

May 7, 2012

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The division rival Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers are set to renew hostilities on Monday when they meet at Miller Park.
Righthander Bronson Arroyo will take the mound for the Reds to start this game. Arroyo is 1-1 this season with a 3.03 ERA.
Starting this game for the Brewers will be Yovani Gallardo. The righthander has a 5.79 ERA to go along with a 1-3 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Brewers listed as 130-moneyline favorites versus the Reds, while the game’s total is sitting at 8.
In their last action, Cincinnati was a 5-0 winner on the road against the Pirates. Bettors on Cincinnati at -136 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (5) sent UNDER bettors home happy as well.
Milwaukee lost its last outing, a 4-3 result against the Giants on May 6. Bettors who backed the Giants at -138 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (7) sent OVER bettors to the payout window.
Current streak:
Milwaukee has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Cincinnati: 14-13 SU
Milwaukee: 12-16 SU

Cincinnati most recently:
When playing on Monday are 4-6
Before playing Milwaukee are 4-6
After playing Pittsburgh are 6-4
After a win are 5-5

Milwaukee most recently:
When playing on Monday are 8-2
Before playing Cincinnati are 7-3
After playing San Francisco are 3-7
After a loss are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Cincinnati is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee’s last 12 games

Next up:
Milwaukee home to Cincinnati, Tuesday, May 8


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