Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets Free MLB Picks

May 16, 2012

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The Cincinnati Reds and the New York Mets will both be trying to pick up a win on Wednesday when they battle at Citi Field.
Righthander Mike Leake will take the mound for the Reds to start this game. Leake is 0-5 this season with a 7.10 ERA.
Starting this game for the Mets will be Johan Santana. The lefthander has a 2.92 ERA to go along with a 1-2 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Mets listed as 150-moneyline favorites versus the Reds, while the game’s total is sitting at 7½.
The Reds were a 6-2 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Braves. That made winners of bettors who got Atlanta at -110 on the moneyline, while the total score (8) was good news for OVER bettors.
New York lost its last outing, an 8-0 result against the Brewers on May 15. Bettors who backed the Brewers at -133 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (8) sent OVER bettors to the payout window.
Team records:
Cincinnati: 18-17 SU
New York: 20-16 SU

Cincinnati most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 4-6
Before playing NY Mets are 6-4
After playing Atlanta are 6-4
After a loss are 7-3

New York most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 5-5
Before playing Cincinnati are 5-5
After playing Milwaukee are 3-7
After a loss are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 6 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati’s last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cincinnati’s last 13 games
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets’s last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets’s last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
NY Mets are 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
NY Mets are 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati

Next up:
NY Mets home to Cincinnati, Thursday, May 17


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