Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Picks

August 21, 2012

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The fans at Citizens Bank Park will be treated to a game between the Cincinnati Reds and the Philadelphia Phillies when they take their seats on Tuesday.
The Reds will pin their hopes on the pitching of righthander Homer Bailey in this game. Bailey has a 10-8 record and a 4.16 ERA this season.
Bailey’s opponent in this one will be Cliff Lee. The Phillies lefthander has a 3.83 ERA to go along with a 2-7 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Phillies listed as 145-moneyline favorites versus the Reds, while the game’s total is sitting at 8.
In their last action, Cincinnati was a 12-5 loser on the road against the Phillies. Bettors on Philadelphia at -158 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (17) sent OVER bettors home happy as well.
Current streak:
Philadelphia has won 3 straight games.

Team records:
Cincinnati: 74-49 SU
Philadelphia: 57-65 SU

Cincinnati most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 6-4
Before playing Philadelphia are 3-7
After playing Philadelphia are 3-7
After a loss are 6-4

Philadelphia most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 4-6
Before playing Cincinnati are 7-3
After playing Cincinnati are 8-2
After a win are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati’s last 9 games when playing Philadelphia
Cincinnati is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Philadelphia is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia’s last 9 games when playing Cincinnati

Next up:
Philadelphia home to Cincinnati, Wednesday, August 22


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