Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Picks

August 22, 2012

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The Cincinnati Reds and the Philadelphia Phillies will both be trying to pick up a win on Wednesday when they battle at Citizens Bank Park.
The Reds will give the ball to starter Bronson Arroyo in this one. Righthander Arroyo is 9-7 this season with a 3.96 ERA.
The Phillies will counter Arroyo with Vance Worley. Righthander Worley has a 4.11 ERA to go along with a 6-8 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Reds listed as 105-moneyline favorites versus the Phillies, while the game’s total is sitting at 9.
Last time out for Cincinnati, they were a 5-4 winner as they battled the Phillies on the road. Moneyline bettors who got the Reds at +140 were rewarded, while the 9 combined runs moved the game OVER for totals bettors.
Team records:
Cincinnati: 75-49 SU
Philadelphia: 57-66 SU

Cincinnati most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 4-6
Before playing Philadelphia are 3-7
After playing Philadelphia are 4-6
After a win are 6-4

Philadelphia most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 6-4
Before playing Cincinnati are 7-3
After playing Cincinnati are 7-3
After a loss are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Philadelphia is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing Cincinnati
Philadelphia is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games when playing Cincinnati

Next up:
Philadelphia home to Cincinnati, Thursday, August 23


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