Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Picks

August 20, 2012

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The Cincinnati Reds and the Philadelphia Phillies will both be gunning for a victory on Monday when they meet at Citizens Bank Park.
Righthander Mike Leake will take the mound for the Reds to start this game. Leake is 5-7 this season with a 4.29 ERA.
Starting this game for the Phillies will be Roy Halladay. The righthander has a 3.80 ERA to go along with a 6-7 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Phillies listed as 150-moneyline favorites versus the Reds, while the game’s total is sitting at 7½.
The Reds were a 5-4 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Cubs. That made winners of bettors who got Cincinnati at -245 on the moneyline, while the total score (9) was good news for OVER bettors.
Philadelphia won its last outing, an 8-0 result against the Brewers on August 19. Bettors who backed the Phillies at +121 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (8) sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.
Current streak:
Philadelphia has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Cincinnati: 74-48 SU
Philadelphia: 56-65 SU

Cincinnati most recently:
When playing on Monday are 5-5
Before playing Philadelphia are 2-8
After playing Chi Cubs are 9-1
After a win are 7-3

Philadelphia most recently:
When playing on Monday are 6-4
Before playing Cincinnati are 7-3
After playing Milwaukee are 6-4
After a win are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Cincinnati is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Cincinnati is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Philadelphia is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia’s last 8 games when playing Cincinnati

Next up:
Philadelphia home to Cincinnati, Tuesday, August 21


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