Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Free MLB Picks

September 30, 2012

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The division rival Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates are set to renew hostilities on Sunday when they meet at PNC Park.
The Reds will trot Johnny Cueto out to the mound in this one. Righthander Cueto has a 19-9 record and a 2.83 ERA this season.
Cueto’s opponent in this one will be Wandy Rodriguez. The Pirates lefthander has a 3.82 ERA to go along with a 11-13 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Reds listed as 150-moneyline favorites versus the Pirates, while the game’s total is sitting at 7½.
Cincinnati lost its last outing, a 2-1 result against the Pirates on September 29. Bettors who backed the Pirates at +113 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (3) sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.
Team records:
Cincinnati: 95-63 SU
Pittsburgh: 77-81 SU

Cincinnati most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 6-4
Before playing St. Louis are 5-5
After playing Pittsburgh are 5-5
After a loss are 8-2

Pittsburgh most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 4-6
Before playing Atlanta are 4-6
After playing Cincinnati are 5-5
After a win are 2-8

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cincinnati’s last 11 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh’s last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Pittsburgh’s last 11 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh’s last 6 games at home
Pittsburgh is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games

Next up:
Cincinnati at St. Louis, Monday, October 1
Pittsburgh home to Atlanta, Monday, October 1


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