Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox Free MLB Picks

May 30, 2012

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The Detroit Tigers will be fighting to snap a losing streak on Wednesday when they take on the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park.
The Tigers will give the ball to starter Drew Smyly in this one. Lefthander Smyly is 2-1 this season with a 3.14 ERA.
The Red Sox will counter Smyly with Jon Lester. Lefthander Lester has a 4.72 ERA to go along with a 3-4 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Red Sox listed as 150-moneyline favorites versus the Tigers, while the game’s total is sitting at 9½.
The Tigers were a 6-3 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Red Sox. That made winners of bettors who got Boston at +145 on the moneyline, while the total score (9) was good news for OVER bettors.
Current streak:
Detroit has lost 2 straight games.
Boston has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Detroit: 23-26 SU
Boston: 25-24 SU

Detroit most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 6-4
Before playing Boston are 4-6
After playing Boston are 5-5
After a loss are 5-5

Boston most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 4-6
Before playing Detroit are 7-3
After playing Detroit are 6-4
After a win are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit’s last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit’s last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit’s last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit’s last 12 games
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Boston is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston’s last 5 games when playing Detroit
Boston is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games

Next up:
Boston home to Detroit, Thursday, May 31


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