Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Free MLB Picks

July 1, 2012

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The fans at Tropicana Field will be treated to a game between the Detroit Tigers and the Tampa Bay Rays when they take their seats on Sunday.
The Tigers will give the ball to starter Drew Smyly in this one. Lefthander Smyly is 2-3 this season with a 4.48 ERA.
The Rays will counter Smyly with Alex Cobb. Righthander Cobb has a 4.73 ERA to go along with a 3-4 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Rays listed as 130-moneyline favorites versus the Tigers, while the game’s total is sitting at 8½.
The Tigers were a 6-2 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Rays. That made winners of bettors who got Detroit at +107 on the moneyline, while the total score (8) was good news for UNDER bettors.
Team records:
Detroit: 38-40 SU
Tampa Bay: 41-37 SU

Detroit most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 2-8
Before playing Minnesota are 8-2
After playing Tampa Bay are 6-4
After a win are 4-6

Tampa Bay most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 3-7
Before playing NY Yankees are 6-4
After playing Detroit are 5-5
After a loss are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit’s last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit’s last 11 games
Detroit is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tampa Bay’s last 9 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay’s last 6 games

Next up:
Detroit home to Minnesota, Monday, July 2
Tampa Bay home to NY Yankees, Monday, July 2


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