free mlb pick Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays 9-28-10

September 28, 2010

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raysThe division rival Baltimore Orioles and Tampa Bay Rays are set to renew hostilities on Tuesday when they meet at Tropicana Field. We love the rays tonight for our free pick.

The Orioles will give the ball to starter Brad Bergesen in this one. Righthander Bergesen is 8-10 this season with a 4.95 ERA.

It’ll be David Price toeing the rubber for the Rays in this contest. Lefthander Price is 18-6 with a 2.84 ERA so far this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Rays listed as 260-moneyline favorites versus the Orioles, while the game’s total is sitting at 8.

Brian Matusz tossed seven scoreless innings to earn the win in the Orioles’ 4-0 victory over the Rays on Monday night.

Baltimore cashed as +150 road underdogs, while the teams played UNDER the 8.5-run total listed by sportsbooks.

Nick Markakis was 2-for-5 with two runs batted in for the Orioles, as Luke Scott went 2-for-3 with an RBI for Baltimore.

Wade Davis allowed three runs over 6 1-3 innings to take the loss for Tampa Bay, which managed only three hits on the night.


Current streak:
Tampa Bay has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Baltimore: 62-94 SU
Tampa Bay: 93-63 SU

Baltimore most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 3-7
Before playing Tampa Bay are 3-7
After playing Tampa Bay are 5-5
After a win are 6-4

Tampa Bay most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 6-4
Before playing Baltimore are 4-6
After playing Baltimore are 5-5
After a loss are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Baltimore’s last 10 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Baltimore’s last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Baltimore’s last 19 games when playing Tampa Bay
Baltimore is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Tampa Bay’s last 10 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay’s last 8 games at home
Tampa Bay is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Tampa Bay’s last 19 games when playing Baltimore

Next up:
Tampa Bay home to Baltimore, Wednesday, September 29

 Free MLB Picks: Rays -1.5  Runs -115


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