free mlb pick Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds 9-28-10

September 28, 2010

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redsThe Houston Astros will be fighting to snap a losing streak on Tuesday when they take on the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. 

Wandy Rodriguez will be the starting pitcher for the Astros on this day. Lefthander Rodriguez is 11-12 this season with a 3.67 ERA.

Rodriguez’s opponent in this one will be Edinson Volquez . The Reds righthander has a 4.45 ERA to go along with a 4-3 record this season. The reason for our pick in this game is pitching and the Reds are home.

Oddsmakers currently have the Reds listed as 165-moneyline favorites versus the Astros, while the game’s total is sitting at 7½.

The Astros lost to Pittsburgh 9-3 as a +100 underdog on Sunday. The 12 runs scored went OVER the posted over/under total (7.5).

J.A. Happ allowed two unearned runs on four hits in six innings for Houston, while Hunter Pence hit a two-run home run.

The Reds lost to San Diego 12-2 as a +115 underdog on Sunday. The 14 runs scored went OVER the posted over/under total (7).

Chris Heisey homered and drove in four runs for Cincinnati, while Joey Votto was 2-4 with a home run, three RBI and three runs scored in the win.

Current streak:
Houston has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Houston: 74-82 SU
Cincinnati: 87-69 SU

Houston most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 6-4
Before playing Cincinnati are 2-8
After playing Pittsburgh are 4-6
After a loss are 6-4

Cincinnati most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 6-4
Before playing Houston are 7-3
After playing San Diego are 3-7
After a win are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston’s last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston’s last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston’s last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
Cincinnati is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing Houston
Cincinnati is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games at home

Next up:
Cincinnati home to Houston, Wednesday, September 29

Free MLB Pick:  Reds -160


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