free mlb pick San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies 10-16-10

October 16, 2010


The San Francisco Giants and the Philadelphia Phillies will both be gunning for a victory on Saturday when they meet at Citizens Bank Park in Game 1 of the NLCS.

Righthander Tim Lincecum will take the mound for the Giants to start this game. Lincecum is 17-10 this season with a 3.29 ERA.

Starting this game for the Phillies will be Roy Halladay. The righthander has a 2.36 ERA to go along with a 22-10 record this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Phillies listed as 170-moneyline favorites versus the Giants, while the game’s total is sitting at 6.

Cody Ross was 2-for-3 with a homer and two runs batted in as the Giants trimmed the Braves 3-2 to win their NLDS in four games on Monday night.

San Francisco won that night as +115 road underdogs, while the game played UNDER the 7-run total listed by sportsbooks.

The Phillies defeated Cincinnati 2-0 as a -130 favorite to sweep their NLDS last Sunday. The two runs scored fell UNDER the posted over/under total (7.5).

Cole Hamels pitched a complete-game shutout, allowing only five hits while striking out nine for the Phillies that day, while Chase Utley hit a solo home run in the win.

Team records:
San Francisco: 92-70 SU
Philadelphia: 97-65 SU

San Francisco most recently:
When playing on Saturday are 4-6
Before playing Philadelphia are 5-5
After playing Atlanta are 6-4
After a win are 6-4

Philadelphia most recently:
When playing on Saturday are 7-3
Before playing San Francisco are 5-5
After playing Cincinnati are 7-3
After a win are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco’s last 6 games
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco’s last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Philadelphia is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
Philadelphia is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games at home

Next up:
Philadelphia home to San Francisco, Sunday, October 17

  Free MLB Pick : Under 6.5

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