free mlb pick Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox 9-6-10

September 6, 2010

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The Tampa Bay Rays and the Boston Red Sox will both be trying to pick up a win on Monday when they battle at Fenway Park.

The Rays will give the ball to starter Jeff Niemann in this one. Righthander Niemann is 10-5 this season with a 3.97 ERA.

It’ll be Jon Lester toeing the rubber for the Red Sox in this contest. Lefthander Lester is 15-8 with a 3.27 ERA so far this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Red Sox listed as 160-moneyline favorites versus the Rays, while the game’s total is sitting at 8½.

The Rays lost to Baltimore 8-7 as a -160 favorite on Sunday. The 15 runs scored went OVER the posted over/under total (9.5).

Evan Longoria, Rocco Baldelli and B.J. Upton all hit two-run home runs for the Rays in the loss.

The Red Sox lost to the White Sox 7-5 as a -140 favorite on Sunday. The 12 runs scored went OVER the posted over/under total (9).

Victor Martinez hit a two-run home run for Boston and David Orton had two RBI.

Current streak:
Tampa Bay has lost 2 straight games.
Boston has lost 3 straight games.

Team records:
Tampa Bay: 83-53 SU
Boston: 76-61 SU

Tampa Bay most recently:
When playing on Monday are 7-3
Before playing Boston are 4-6
After playing Baltimore are 6-4
After a loss are 5-5

Boston most recently:
When playing on Monday are 4-6
Before playing Tampa Bay are 5-5
After playing Chi White Sox are 5-5
After a loss are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston’s last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston’s last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston’s last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston’s last 11 games

Next up:
Boston home to Tampa Bay, Tuesday, September 7


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