free mlb pick Rays vs Yankees 9-20-10

September 20, 2010

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If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Monday when the Tampa Bay Rays and the New York Yankees meet at Yankee Stadium.

The Rays will trot Matt Garza out to the mound in this one. Righthander Garza has a 14-8 record and a 3.89 ERA this season.

Garza’s opponent in this one will be Ivan Nova. The Yankees righthander has a 4.78 ERA to go along with a 1-0 record this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Yankees listed as 120-moneyline favorites versus the Rays, while the game’s total is sitting at 9½.

The Rays lost to the Angels 6-3 as a -200 favorite on Sunday. The nine runs scored caused the game to be a PUSH on the posted over/under total (9).

Kelly Shoppach hit a solo home run for Tampa Bay and Jeff Niemann gave up five runs on six hits in 4 1-3 innings.

The Yankees lost to Baltimore 4-3 as a -170 favorite on Sunday. The seven runs scored fell UNDER the posted over/under total (9).

Robinson Cano was 2-4 with an RBI and a run scored for New York, while Andy Pettitte allowed one run on three hits in six innings.

Team records:
Tampa Bay: 89-59 SU
New York: 90-59 SU

Tampa Bay most recently:
When playing on Monday are 3-7
Before playing NY Yankees are 6-4
After playing LA Angels are 4-6
After a loss are 7-3

New York most recently:
When playing on Monday are 5-5
Before playing Tampa Bay are 5-5
After playing Baltimore are 5-5
After a loss are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay’s last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Tampa Bay’s last 15 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay’s last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees’s last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
NY Yankees are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of NY Yankees’s last 15 games when playing Tampa Bay
NY Yankees are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Next up:
NY Yankees home to Tampa Bay, Tuesday, September 21


Free MLB Picks: Yankees  -115


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