free mlb pick yankees at rays 9-15-10

September 15, 2010

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If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Wednesday when the New York Yankees and the Tampa Bay Rays meet at Tropicana Field.

The Yankees will pin their hopes on the pitching of righthander Philip Hughes in this game. Hughes has a 16-7 record and a 4.29 ERA this season.

Meanwhile, it’ll be ace James Shields who starts for the Rays. Righthander Shields is 12-12 with a 5.01 ERA so far this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Rays listed as 120-moneyline favorites versus the Yankees, while the game’s total is sitting at 9½.

Jorge Posada’s dinger in the top of the 10th inning lifted the Yankees past the Rays 8-7 on Tuesday night.

New York won as +110 road underdogs, while the game played OVER the 8.5-run total set by oddsmakers.

Robinson Cano was 3-for-4 with a two-run homer and three runs batted in for the Yankees, as David Robertson picked up the win for New York in relief of Ivan Nova.

Willy Aybar hit a three-run blast for Tampa Bay, while Dan Wheeler took the loss for the Rays after allowing Posada’s shot in the 10th.

Team records:
New York: 88-57 SU
Tampa Bay: 87-57 SU

New York most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 7-3
Before playing Baltimore are 7-3
After playing Tampa Bay are 5-5
After a win are 7-3

Tampa Bay most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 6-4
Before playing LA Angels are 5-5
After playing NY Yankees are 6-4
After a loss are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 11 of NY Yankees’s last 14 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Yankees’s last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Yankees’s last 9 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
NY Yankees are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay’s last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Tampa Bay’s last 14 games when playing NY Yankees
Tampa Bay is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay’s last 8 games at home

Next up:
NY Yankees at Baltimore, Friday, September 17
Tampa Bay home to LA Angels, Friday, September 17

FREE PICK: Rays -115


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