free pick against the spread Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets 6-22-10

June 22, 2010

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The Detroit Tigers and the New York Mets will both be gunning for a victory on Tuesday when they meet at Citi Field.

Ace righthander Justin Verlander will take the mound for the Tigers to start this game. Verlander is 8-4 this season with a 3.54 ERA.

Verlander’s opponent in this one will be Jonathon Niese. The Mets lefthander has a 3.64 ERA to go along with a 4-2 record this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Tigers listed as 135-moneyline favorites versus the Mets, while the game’s total is sitting at 7½.

The Tigers defeated Arizona 3-1 as a -150 favorite on Sunday. The four runs scored fell UNDER the posted over/under total (9).

Max Scherzer allowed one run on four hits with eight strikeouts over seven innings for Detroit and Brennan Boesch hit a two-run home run in the win.

The Mets lost to the Yankees 4-0 as a +170 underdog on Sunday. The four runs scored fell UNDER the posted over/under total (8.5).

Johan Santana took the loss for the Mets after allowing four runs on eight hits in six innings.

Current streak:
New York has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Detroit: 38-30 SU
New York: 39-30 SU

Detroit most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 6-4
Before playing NY Mets are 3-3
After playing Arizona are 4-6
After a win are 6-4

New York most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 5-5
Before playing Detroit are 4-2
After playing NY Yankees are 4-6
After a loss are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
Detroit is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit’s last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit’s last 6 games when playing NY Mets
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets are 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Mets’s last 9 games at home
NY Mets are 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Mets’s last 12 games

Next up:
NY Mets home to Detroit, Wednesday, June 23

FREE PICK: Tigers -125


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