free pick Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers 5-10-10

May 10, 2010

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The Atlanta Braves and the Milwaukee Brewers will both be trying to pick up a win on Monday when they battle at Miller Park.

The Braves will trot Tommy Hanson out to the mound in this one. Righthander Hanson has a 2-2 record and a 2.83 ERA this season.

It’ll be Doug Davis toeing the rubber for the Brewers in this contest. Lefthander Davis is 1-3 with a 8.13 ERA so far this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Braves listed as 120-moneyline favorites versus the Brewers, while the game’s total is sitting at 8½.

The Braves lost to Philadelphia 5-3 as a +200 underdog on Sunday. The eight runs scored fell UNDER the posted over/under total (9).

Troy Glaus was 2-3 with two RBI for Atlanta and Kensi Kawakami gave up five runs on seven hits in 6 2-3 innings.

The Brewers defeated Arizona 6-1 as a +130 underdog on Sunday. The seven runs scored fell UNDER the posted over/under total (10.5).

Casey McGehee homered and drove in three runs for Milwaukee, while Prince Fielder and Gregg Zaun hit solo home runs in the win.

Current streak:
Milwaukee has won 3 straight games.

Team records:
Atlanta: 13-18 SU
Milwaukee: 15-16 SU

Atlanta most recently:
When playing on Monday are 6-4
Before playing Milwaukee are 2-8
After playing Philadelphia are 4-6
After a loss are 3-7

Milwaukee most recently:
When playing on Monday are 4-6
Before playing Atlanta are 6-4
After playing Arizona are 7-3
After a win are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Atlanta’s last 15 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Milwaukee’s last 15 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 7 games

Next up:
Milwaukee home to Atlanta, Tuesday, May 11

FREE PICK  :  Braves  -116


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