free pick Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles 4-30-10

April 30, 2010


The Boston Red Sox and the Baltimore Orioles will both be gunning for a victory on Friday when they meet at Camden Yards.

Righthander John Lackey will take the mound for the Red Sox to start this game. Lackey is 2-1 this season with a 5.09 ERA.

Meanwhile, it’ll be David Hernandez who starts for the Orioles. Righthander Hernandez is 0-3 with a 4.84 ERA so far this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Red Sox listed as 165-moneyline favorites versus the Orioles, while the game’s total is sitting at 9.

Jon Lester tossed a one-hit shutout through seven innings as the Red Sox shut down the Blue Jays 2-0 for series sweep last time out. The Red Sox won the game as -150 favorites, while the teams played UNDER the posted over/under (8.5) set by sportsbooks.

Dustin Pedroia Darnell McDonald drove in the runs for the Red Sox.

The Orioles were shut down 4-0 by the Yankees last time out, as +130 underdogs. The teams played UNDER that game’s posted over/under (8.5) set by sportsbooks.

Brian Matusz was tagged with the loss, giving up nine hits and three earned runs over his six innings for the Orioles.

Current streak:
Boston has won 3 straight games.
Baltimore has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Boston: 11-11 SU
Baltimore: 4-18 SU

Boston most recently:
When playing on Friday are 4-6
Before playing Baltimore are 7-3
After playing Toronto are 7-3
After a win are 5-5

Baltimore most recently:
When playing on Friday are 3-7
Before playing Boston are 1-9
After playing NY Yankees are 1-9
After a loss are 2-8

A few trends to consider:
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Boston is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Baltimore
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore’s last 8 games when playing at home against Boston
Baltimore is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games
Baltimore is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home

Next up:
Baltimore home to Boston, Saturday, May 1

FREE PICK:  Red Sox  -1.5  Runs  -115

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