free pick Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles 5-1-10

May 1, 2010

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The division rival Boston Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles are set to renew hostilities on Saturday when they meet at Camden Yards.

Daisuke Matsuzaka will be the starting pitcher for the Red Sox on this day. Righthander Matsuzaka is 0-0 this season with a 0.00 ERA.

The Orioles will counter Matsuzaka with Brad Bergesen. Righthander Bergesen has a 12.19 ERA to go along with a 0-2 record this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Red Sox listed as 170-moneyline favorites versus the Orioles, while the game’s total is sitting at 9½.

Miguel Tejada homered and drove in three runs to lead the Orioles to a 5-4 win over the Red Sox in 10 innings on Friday. The Orioles won the game as +135 underdogs, while the nine runs went as a PUSH against that game’s posted over/under (9) set by sportsbooks.

Matt Albers pitched a scoreless 10th inning to earn the victory on the mound for the Orioles.

Ramon Ramirez allowed the winning run and was tagged with the Red Sox loss.

Team records:
Boston: 11-12 SU
Baltimore: 5-18 SU

Boston most recently:
When playing on Saturday are 8-2
Before playing Baltimore are 7-3
After playing Baltimore are 7-3
After a loss are 5-5

Baltimore most recently:
When playing on Saturday are 4-6
Before playing Boston are 1-9
After playing Boston are 3-7
After a win are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Boston is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games when playing Baltimore
Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Baltimore is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games
Baltimore is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games at home
Baltimore is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games when playing Boston
Baltimore is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Boston

Next up:
Baltimore home to Boston, Sunday, May 2

FREE PICK  :  Red Sox  -160


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