free pick Cincinnati Reds vs. Florida Marlins 4-12-10

April 12, 2010

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The Cincinnati Reds and the Florida Marlins will both be gunning for a victory on Monday when they meet at Sun Life Stadium.

The Reds will pin their hopes on the pitching of righthander Johnny Cueto in this game. Cueto has a 0-0 record and a 3.00 ERA this season.

The Marlins will counter Cueto with Ricky Nolasco. Righthander Nolasco has a 4.05 ERA to go along with a 0-0 record this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Marlins listed as 145-moneyline favorites versus the Reds, while the game’s total is sitting at 7½.

The Reds defeated Chicago 3-1 as a +105 underdog on Sunday. The four runs scored fell UNDER the posted over/under total (9).

Mike Leake allowed one run on four hits while walking seven over 6 2-3 innings for Cincinnati and Scott Rolen was 2-2 with a run scored.

The Marlins defeated the Dodgers 6-5 as a -140 favorite on Sunday. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (9).

Jorge Cantu homered and drove in five runs for Florida and Hanley Ramirez scored a pair of runs in the win.

Current streak:
Florida has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Cincinnati: 3-3 SU
Florida: 4-2 SU

Cincinnati most recently:
When playing on Monday are 6-4
Before playing Florida are 4-6
After playing Chi Cubs are 6-4
After a win are 7-3

Florida most recently:
When playing on Monday are 7-3
Before playing Cincinnati are 6-4
After playing LA Dodgers are 5-5
After a win are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 6 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cincinnati’s last 10 games when playing on the road against Florida
Cincinnati is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida’s last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida’s last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida’s last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Next up:
Florida home to Cincinnati, Tuesday, April 13

Free Pick:  Florida  -136


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