free pick Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals 9-3-10

September 3, 2010

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The Cincinnati Reds and the St. Louis Cardinals will both be trying to pick up a win on Friday when they battle at Busch Stadium.

The Reds will pin their hopes on the pitching of ace righthander Bronson Arroyo in this game. Arroyo has a 14-8 record and a 3.82 ERA this season.

The Cardinals will counter Arroyo with Jamie Garcia. Lefthander Garcia has a 2.33 ERA to go along with a 12-6 record this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Cardinals listed as 140-moneyline favorites versus the Reds, while the game’s total is sitting at 7½.

Ryan Hanigan hit a three-run homer in a six-run seventh on Wednesday, and the Reds defeated the Brewers 6-1. The Reds won that game as -170 favorites, while the teams played UNDER the posted over/under (9.5) set by sportsbooks.

Aroldis Chapman pitched one inning of relief to earn the win.

The Cardinals were defeated 5-2 by the Astros last time out, as +105 underdogs. The teams played UNDER the posted over/under (8.5) set by sportsbooks.

Jeff Suppan was tagged with the Cardinals loss, giving up four runs on three hits in five innings on the mound.

Current streak:
Cincinnati has won 4 straight games.
St. Louis has lost 5 straight games.

Team records:
Cincinnati: 78-55 SU
St. Louis: 69-62 SU

Cincinnati most recently:
When playing on Friday are 4-6
Before playing St. Louis are 4-6
After playing Milwaukee are 8-2
After a win are 7-3

St. Louis most recently:
When playing on Friday are 2-8
Before playing Cincinnati are 6-4
After playing Houston are 5-5
After a loss are 2-8

A few trends to consider:
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 7 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis’s last 6 games
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis’s last 7 games when playing Cincinnati

Next up:
St. Louis home to Cincinnati, Saturday, September 4


FREE PICK: Reds +125


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