free pick Florida Marlins vs. Washington Nationals 9-10-10

September 10, 2010

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The Florida Marlins will be fighting to snap a losing streak on Friday when they take on the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park.

The Marlins will trot Alejandro Sanabia out to the mound in this one. Righthander Sanabia has a 3-1 record and a 4.54 ERA this season.

Meanwhile, it’ll be John Lannan who starts for the Nationals. Lefthander Lannan is 7-6 with a 4.73 ERA so far this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Nationals listed as 120-moneyline favorites versus the Marlins, while the game’s total is sitting at 8½.

The Marlins were defeated 10-6 by the Phillies last time out, as +220 underdogs. That game’s 16 runs sailed OVER the posted over/under (8.5) set by sportsbooks.

Andrew Miller was taken for seven runs off 11 hits in just four innings in the Marlins loss.

The Nationals were defeated 3-2 by the Mets last time out, as a -110 pick’em. That game’s five runs went UNDER the posted over/under (8) set by sportsbooks.

Wilson Ramos belted a two-run homer to drive in both runs for the Nationals. Livan Hernandez gave up three runs off six hits in 6 1-3 innings in the loss.

Current streak:
Florida has lost 3 straight games.
Washington has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Florida: 70-69 SU
Washington: 60-80 SU

Florida most recently:
When playing on Friday are 6-4
Before playing Washington are 6-4
After playing Philadelphia are 4-6
After a loss are 4-6

Washington most recently:
When playing on Friday are 4-6
Before playing Florida are 4-6
After playing NY Mets are 4-6
After a loss are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
Florida is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida’s last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida’s last 5 games
Florida is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington’s last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington’s last 6 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Washington’s last 24 games when playing at home against Florida
Washington is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Florida

Next up:
Washington home to Florida, Saturday, September 11


FREE PICK: Nationals -115


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