free pick Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets 6-26-10

June 26, 2010

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The Minnesota Twins and the New York Mets will both be gunning for a victory on Saturday when they meet at Citi Field in an interleague contest.

The Twins will give the ball to starter Carl Pavano in this one. Righthander Pavano is 8-6 this season with a 3.64 ERA.

It’ll be ace Johan Santana toeing the rubber for the Mets in this contest. Lefthander Santana is 5-4 with a 3.31 ERA so far this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Mets listed as 140-moneyline favorites versus the Twins, while the game’s total is sitting at 7½.

David Wright homered and drove in a pair of runs as the Mets got past the Twins 5-2 on Friday. The Mets won that game as -120 favorites, while the seven runs went UNDER the posted over/under (8) set by sportsbooks.

Mike Pelfrey improved to 10-2 with the victory, allowing six hits and two runs over his six innings for the Mets.

Kevin Slowey surrendered six hits and five runs over six innings in the Twins loss.

Current streak:
Minnesota has lost 4 straight games.

Team records:
Minnesota: 40-33 SU
New York: 42-31 SU

Minnesota most recently:
When playing on Saturday are 5-5
Before playing NY Mets are 7-3
After playing NY Mets are 4-5
After a loss are 5-5

New York most recently:
When playing on Saturday are 3-7
Before playing Minnesota are 4-6
After playing Minnesota are 4-5
After a win are 8-2

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota’s last 10 games when playing NY Mets
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets are 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Mets’s last 10 games when playing Minnesota
NY Mets are 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of NY Mets’s last 13 games at home

Next up:
NY Mets home to Minnesota, Sunday, June 27

Free Pick : Twins +130


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