free pick New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds 5-3-10

May 3, 2010

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The New York Mets and the Cincinnati Reds will both be trying to pick up a win on Monday when they battle at Great American Ball Park.

Lefthander Oliver Perez will take the mound for the Mets to start this game. Perez is 0-2 this season with a 4.35 ERA.

Meanwhile, it’ll be Mike Leake who starts for the Reds. Righthander Leake is 2-0 with a 3.25 ERA so far this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Reds listed as 145-moneyline favorites versus the Mets, while the game’s total is sitting at 9½.

The Mets lost to Philadelphia 11-5 as a -135 favorite on Sunday. The 16 runs scored went OVER the posted over/under total (9).

David Wright clubbed a three-run homer for the Mets and Johan Santana was pummeled for 10 runs on eight hits in 3 2-3 innings.

The Reds lost to St. Louis 6-0 as a +205 underdog on Sunday. The six runs scored fell UNDER the posted over/under total (7.5).

Aaron Harang took the loss for Cincinnati after allowing three runs on seven hits in six innings.

Current streak:
New York has lost 2 straight games.
Cincinnati has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
New York: 14-11 SU
Cincinnati: 12-13 SU

New York most recently:
When playing on Monday are 6-4
Before playing Cincinnati are 5-5
After playing Philadelphia are 1-9
After a loss are 5-5

Cincinnati most recently:
When playing on Monday are 4-6
Before playing NY Mets are 4-6
After playing St. Louis are 4-6
After a loss are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
NY Mets are 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets’s last 5 games
NY Mets are 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
NY Mets are 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Cincinnati is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 6 games at home
Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Mets

Next up:
Cincinnati home to NY Mets, Tuesday, May 4

FREE PICK  :  Reds  -134


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